EUR/USD in a slow motion down drift – Confluence Detector

As outlined on the daily perspective, most majors are showing similar price structures, ones which are characterised by lollygagging exchange rates, surrounded by ever converging technical levels such as moving averages, pivot points, volatility bands and recent highs and lows. Momentum indicators are surely reflecting the current consolidation seen in their charts.

Under this scenario, and without entirely dismissing my previous EURUSD analysis connoting a South move, I would prefer a clearer directional break out of the current congestion, before adopting fresh positioning. The EURUSD is presently hesitating between 1.1620 and 1.1420. Last week's and also last month's low represent the last line of support, before a downside continuation could become reality. On the upper side, a combination of Fibonacci levels and pivot resistances build the last line of defence for bulls.

Although the path of least resistance seems to be downwards it is advised to wait for decisive breakouts in order to get all ducks in a row.

Here is how it looks on the Technical Confluences Indicator :

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence