- The EUR/USD pair is consolidating below key SMAs (Simple Moving Averages).
- The US Dollar remains firm in the market, with the DXY posting its highest close in a month.
- The Euro also dropped against the Swiss Franc and Pound.
The EUR/USD dropped below key moving averages and tested levels under 1.0900. The recovery from the lows could alleviate the bearish pressure, but the overall trend remains downward. The US Dollar remains resilient across the board.
On Tuesday, the US Dollar Index finished above 103.00, marking its highest daily close in over a month. This was driven by higher US Treasury yields. The Greenback remains strong despite expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates unchanged. US yields continue to rise, with the 10-year approaching 4.20% and the 2-year nearing 5%. On the economic front, Retail Sales data from the US are due on Tuesday.
The Euro underperformed on Monday and experienced losses against the Swiss Franc and the Pound. Data released on Monday showed that the Wholesale Price Index in Germany dropped 0.2% in July, contrary to expectations of a 1.4% decline. However, the annual rate stood at -2.8% against an expected -2.6%. The ZEW Survey will be released on Tuesday.
EUR/USD short-term technical outlook
-638276400788951804.png)
The EUR/USD dropped to 1.0874, reaching its lowest level in a month, and then rebounded above 1.0900. However, the Euro failed to recover a key area at 1.0925, represented by the 55-day and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). The daily close below those lines suggests further weakness ahead. Technical indicators on the daily chart do not strongly indicate more losses, hinting at potential consolidation. However, the overall trend remains bearish.
On the 4-hour chart, the EUR/USD found support at 1.0875 and has rebounded without surpassing key levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is pointing south, approaching 30, while Momentum remains below midlines. The Euro needs to rise above 1.0970 to change the short-term outlook from negative to neutral. A consolidation below 1.0880 would open the doors to July lows at 1.0830.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD: Further weakness remains in the pipeline
AUD/USD resumed its decline and slipped back to the 0.6360-0.6350 band, or monthly troughs, on the back of the strong resumption of the bid bias around the Greenback, which was reignited following the US-China trade talks over the weekend.
USD/JPY surges as risk-on sentiment weighs on safe-haven Yen
USD/JPY is trading near 148.00 as risk-on sentiment dominates global markets following a significant breakthrough in US-China trade relations. This temporary de-escalation has sparked a rally in risky assets, weighing on traditional safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen.
Gold: Gains appear limited near $3,250
Gold began the week under pressure, retreating toward the $3,200 mark per troy ounce, where some support appeared to materialise. The decline followed a broader improvement in risk sentiment after encouraging developments emerged from US-China trade talks over the weekend.
Fake Bitcoin ETF tweet could earn SEC hacker two years in US prison
US prosecutors recommend a two-year sentence for the individual who hacked SEC’s official X account. The hacker used a SIM swap to post a false message about Bitcoin ETF approval. The sentencing hearing is scheduled for May 16 before Judge Amy Berman Jackson.
Memecoins on the move: WIF, BOME, and FLOKI post double-digit gains as US-China agree on tariff reduction
Dogwifhat, Book of Meme, and FLOKI extend their double-digit rallies on Monday, adding to last week’s surge. The rally is driven by growing risk-on sentiment in crypto markets after the US and China agreed to major tariff reductions.
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.