|

EUR/USD Forecast: near weekly highs but upside potential limited

EUR/USD Current price: 1.1445

  • Risk appetite underpins high-yielding currencies, thin volumes keeping majors within familiar levels.
  • German inflation rose by less-than-expected in December, according to preliminary estimates.

The EUR/USD pair extended its weekly advance up to 1.1472 during the London session, amid a return of appetite for riskier assets, with most indexes up in Asia and solid gains in European ones. The pair, however, was unable to sustain gains and retreated to its comfort zone around 1.1450. The common currency didn´t react to tepid German inflation, which rose by less-than-expected in December, according to preliminary estimates, up 0.1% MoM and 1.7% YoY.  

The greenback is gaining some ground ahead of Wall Street's opening, with US indexes poised to open higher.  The US should publish the December Chicago PMI, foreseen at 62.0 vs. the previous 66.4, Pending Home Sales, expected to have declined 0.7% in November, and New Home Sales for the same month, anticipated to have risen by 2.9%. Given the US government shutdown, some data could be delayed until the government resumes activity.

The pair retains a positive tone according to the 4 hours chart, although the 1.1460/80 region is a tough static resistance area that won't be easy to break. In the mentioned chart, the pair is well above its moving averages, with the 20 SMA gaining upward strength. Technical indicators are neutral-to-bullish within positive levels, below their daily highs, indicating limited buying interest.  

Support levels: 1.1420 1.1390 1.1360    

Resistance levels: 1.1480 1.1510 1.1545 

View Live chart for the EUR/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases toward 1.1700 as USD finds fresh demand

EUR/USD eases toward the 1.1700 mark in Europe trading on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar as investors look past softer US inflation data. However, the EUR/USD downside appears capped by expectations of the Fed-ECB monetary policy divergence. 

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders digest BoE policy update and US inflation data

The GBP/USD pair stalls the previous day's pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.3400s and a nearly two-month high, though it struggles to attract meaningful buyers during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3380-1.3385 region, up only 0.05% for the day, amid mixed cues.

Gold stays weak below $4,350 as USD bulls shrug off softer US CPI

Gold holds the previous day's late pullback from the vicinity of the record high and stays in the red below $4,350 in the European session on Friday. The US CPI report released on Thursday pointed to cooling inflationary pressures, but the US Dollar seems resilient amid a fresh bout of short-covering.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday. The pullback phase is further strengthened as the upcoming Bank of Japan’s rate decision on Friday weighs on risk sentiment, with BTC breaking key support, ETH deepening weekly losses, and XRP sliding to multi-month lows.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.