|

EUR/USD Forecast: Depressed around 1.0900

EUR/USD Current Price: 1.0904

  • The German Business Climate improved in May according to the IFO survey.
  • A holiday in the US anticipates further consolidation ahead for major pairs.
  • EUR/USD at risk of extending its slide after posting a fresh 5-day low.

The EUR/USD pair hovers around the 1.0900 level in a quiet start to the week, with the shared currency founding support in a better than anticipated German IFO Survey. According to it,  the Business Climate in the country improved in May to 79.5 from 74.2. Expectations also improved, although the assessment of the current situation worsened. Holidays in the UK and the US keep the macroeconomic calendar empty and majors confined to familiar levels.

Meanwhile, tensions between the US and China weighed on the market’s mood. Nevertheless, European indexes are firmly up, while US futures are also higher.

EUR/USD short-term technical outlook

The EUR/USD pair is  still on the bearish side, as it reached a 5-day low of 1.0870, now barely trading above its daily opening. The 4-hour chart shows that it met buyers around the 100 and 200 SMA, both converging with the mentioned level, while the 20 SMA maintains its bearish slope above the current level. Technical indicators, in the meantime, have bounced from oversold readings, but lack enough strength to confirm further advances.

Support levels: 1.0870 1.0830 1.0790

Resistance levels: 1.0925 1.0960 1.1000

View Live Chart for the EUR/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.