|

EUR/USD Forecast: Bulls took over with Lagarde’s optimism

EUR/USD Current Price: 1.1889

  • ECB left its monetary policy unchanged, reaffirmed the need for ample support.
  • Governing Council has reportedly agreed that there is no need to overreact to euro gains.
  • EUR/USD firmly bullish and heading towards the yearly high at 1.1911.

The EUR/USD pair is up this Thursday, trading around 1.1890 as ECB’s Lagarde speaks. Easing dollar’s demand alongside an on-hold ECB is backing the shared currency this Thursday. Words from the ECB´s head are hawkish, as suspected after yesterday rumours. Despite persistent uncertainty, Lagarde started her speech mentioning a strong rebound in macroeconomic activity, although noting that it’s still below pre-pandemic levels and adding that ample accommodative support is needed.  

Among other things, Lagarde referred to the exchange rate, saying that policymakers will carefully assess developments, including it. Also,  the Governing Council has reportedly agreed that there is no need to overreact to euro gains, boosting the pair.

Meanwhile, the US published Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended September 4, which came in at 884K, worse than anticipated. The country also published August PPI which beat expectations but remained in the red at -0.2% YoY.

EUR/USD short-term technical outlook

The EUR/USD pair has trimmed 50% of its latest losses and is technically bullish in the short-term. The 4-hour chart shows that the price has broken above all of its moving averages, while technical indicators head firmly higher within positive levels. The 61.8% retracement of its latest daily slump comes at 1.1910, the immediate resistance level. A break above this last would open doors to a retest of the year high at 1.2011.

Support levels: 1.1850 1.1810 1.1760

Resistance levels: 1.1910 1.1950 1.1990

View Live Chart for the EUR/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains offered; bears target 1.3600

GBP/USD now leaves behind part of its recent recovery and revisits the low 1.3600s at the beginning of the week. Indeed, Cable trades with a mild downward bias amid decent gains in the Greenback as investors remain wary of upcoming US data releases and the Jackson Hole event.

EUR/USD remains sidelined above 1.1650

EUR/USD trades on the defensive following the closing bell on Wall Street on Monday, hovering around the 1.1660 region and adding to Friday’s small decline. The pair’s pullback comes in response to an acceptable rebound in the US Dollar in a context of generalised caution ahead of key US data releases and Chair Warsh’s speech in Jackson Hole.

Gold retreats from mid-May highs; fails ahead of $4,700 as Fed risks support USD

Gold touched a fresh high since May 14, during the Asian session on Tuesday, though it struggled to capitalize on the move and failed to break the $4,700 mark. The initial downward push on US bond yields due to the Treasury Department's expanded buyback strategy turned out to be short-lived amid concerns over the growing US national debt, which crossed $40 trillion.

Ripple and Stellar outlook: Key breakouts could fuel the next rally
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) are showing signs of renewed strength after rallying over 53% and 27% in the previous week. Meanwhile, both altcoins are approaching key technical levels on Tuesday that could determine their next move. However, mixed on-chain signals with a slight bearish tilt suggest traders remain cautious amid the recent price gains.
Will Jackson Hole ignite Gold and Silver’s next explosive breakout?
The 2026 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium arrives at a pivotal moment. The U.S economy faces record debt, elevated borrowing costs, a weaker dollar and renewed momentum across hard assets. For The Gold & Silver Club, the backdrop increasingly validates its early-year call: “2026 will be the Year of Hard Assets.”
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.