|

EUR/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

EUR/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Bullish Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Orange Wave 5.

Position: Navy Blue Wave 1.

Direction next lower degrees: Navy Blue Wave 2.

Details: Orange wave 4 appears to have completed, initiating orange wave 5.

Wave cancel invalid level: 1.01781.

The daily chart reflects a bullish outlook for the EURUSD pair, with notable upward movement within an impulsive wave framework. Present analysis identifies that orange wave 5 is forming within the broader structure of navy blue wave 1. This indicates the currency pair has finalized the correction seen in orange wave 4 and has entered the final phase of upward movement within this impulse wave. This development often marks the last segment of upward momentum before a likely trend reversal or deeper correction begins.

The technical analysis confirms the end of orange wave 4 and the initiation of orange wave 5. A key invalidation level has been set at 1.01781. A break below this point would negate the current bullish wave count and could indicate the premature end of the upward move or require a reassessment of the wave structure. The current impulsive pattern points to sustained buying activity. However, traders should observe for signs of slowing momentum as this final wave advances.

Looking ahead, the market is expected to enter navy blue wave 2, which is projected to be a corrective phase once orange wave 5 concludes. This Elliott Wave setup provides insights into the pair's position in its longer-term bullish cycle and highlights potential reversal areas. It suggests limited remaining upside before completing the current five-wave structure, followed by the likelihood of a broader correction.

Market participants are advised to monitor closely for signs that wave 5 has concluded and to stay vigilant about the invalidation level, which may necessitate updates to the current outlook.

EUR/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Bullish Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Orange Wave 5.

Position: Navy Blue Wave 1.

Direction next higher degrees: Orange Wave 5 (started).

Details:

Orange wave 4 appears completed, and orange wave 5 is currently underway.

Wave cancel invalid level: 1.01781.

On the 4-hour chart, EURUSD shows a bullish trend, driven by a clearly defined impulsive wave structure. The analysis indicates that orange wave 5 is forming within the context of navy blue wave 1, following the completion of the corrective orange wave 4. This current wave movement marks the final leg in the ongoing bullish sequence, often preceding a potential correction or trend shift.

The chart analysis confirms that orange wave 4 has ended, and orange wave 5 is now advancing. A critical invalidation point is set at 1.01781; any drop below this level would nullify the bullish wave count, indicating either an early end to the upward move or the need for structural reassessment. With continued upward movement and impulsive momentum, buyers remain active, although signs of trend fatigue should be monitored as wave 5 nears its peak.

This technical framework gives traders a clear structure to evaluate exit strategies for long positions or prepare for potential reversals. The current setup implies only modest upside potential remains before the five-wave sequence concludes, possibly giving way to a broader correction. Traders are advised to watch for price divergences or reversal signals near resistance levels and keep a close eye on the invalidation point to adjust strategies accordingly.

EUR/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bears await break below 100-day SMA support near 1.1665 area

The EUR/USD pair attracts heavy selling for the second straight day and dives to a nearly four-week trough, around the 1.1670 region, during the Asian session on Monday. Bearish traders now await a sustained break below the 100-day Simple Moving Average before positioning for an extension of the recent pullback from a three-month top, or levels just above the 1.1800 mark touched on December 24.

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3400 near 50-day EMA

GBP/USD extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around 1.3420 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 53 has eased from near overbought, indicating that momentum has cooled while remaining above the midline. RSI holds above 50, keeping a modest bullish bias.

Gold on fire at the start of the week on US-Venezuela tensions

Gold regains upside traction early Monday as flight to safety prevails on Venezuela turmoil. The US Dollar finds strong haven demand, caps Gold’s upside as focus shifts to US jobs data. Gold’s daily technical setup suggests that more upside remains in the offing.

Bulls firmly in control as Bitcoin breaks $93K, Ethereum and Ripple extend gains

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple extended their rallies on Monday, gaining more than 4%, 6%, and 12%, respectively, in the previous week. The top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization could continue to outperform, with bulls in control of the momentum.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe rally on Venezuela’s shadow BTC reserve

Meme coins such as Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe are leading the cryptocurrency market rally driven by the US cross-border operation to capture Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. Dogecoin extends its gain for the fifth consecutive day while SHIB and PEPE take a pause.