The daily chart reflects a bullish outlook for the EURUSD pair, with notable upward movement within an impulsive wave framework. Present analysis identifies that orange wave 5 is forming within the broader structure of navy blue wave 1. This indicates the currency pair has finalized the correction seen in orange wave 4 and has entered the final phase of upward movement within this impulse wave. This development often marks the last segment of upward momentum before a likely trend reversal or deeper correction begins.

The technical analysis confirms the end of orange wave 4 and the initiation of orange wave 5. A key invalidation level has been set at 1.01781. A break below this point would negate the current bullish wave count and could indicate the premature end of the upward move or require a reassessment of the wave structure. The current impulsive pattern points to sustained buying activity. However, traders should observe for signs of slowing momentum as this final wave advances.

Looking ahead, the market is expected to enter navy blue wave 2, which is projected to be a corrective phase once orange wave 5 concludes. This Elliott Wave setup provides insights into the pair's position in its longer-term bullish cycle and highlights potential reversal areas. It suggests limited remaining upside before completing the current five-wave structure, followed by the likelihood of a broader correction.

Market participants are advised to monitor closely for signs that wave 5 has concluded and to stay vigilant about the invalidation level, which may necessitate updates to the current outlook.

EUR/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Bullish Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Orange Wave 5.

Position: Navy Blue Wave 1.

Direction next higher degrees: Orange Wave 5 (started).

Details:

Orange wave 4 appears completed, and orange wave 5 is currently underway.

Wave cancel invalid level: 1.01781.

On the 4-hour chart, EURUSD shows a bullish trend, driven by a clearly defined impulsive wave structure. The analysis indicates that orange wave 5 is forming within the context of navy blue wave 1, following the completion of the corrective orange wave 4. This current wave movement marks the final leg in the ongoing bullish sequence, often preceding a potential correction or trend shift.

The chart analysis confirms that orange wave 4 has ended, and orange wave 5 is now advancing. A critical invalidation point is set at 1.01781; any drop below this level would nullify the bullish wave count, indicating either an early end to the upward move or the need for structural reassessment. With continued upward movement and impulsive momentum, buyers remain active, although signs of trend fatigue should be monitored as wave 5 nears its peak.

This technical framework gives traders a clear structure to evaluate exit strategies for long positions or prepare for potential reversals. The current setup implies only modest upside potential remains before the five-wave sequence concludes, possibly giving way to a broader correction. Traders are advised to watch for price divergences or reversal signals near resistance levels and keep a close eye on the invalidation point to adjust strategies accordingly.

EUR/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

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