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EUR/USD bullish breakout in wave C of ABC zigzag pattern

  • EUR/USD made a bullish bounce at the 144 ema close. The uptrend is now aiming at the Fibonacci targets after price action broke above the resistance.

  • The EUR/USD is making a bullish break as expected. The swing up is probably a wave C (grey) of larger ABC pattern (grey).

  • On the 1 hour chart, price action completed a bearish abc pattern in wave 4 (orange). The bullish swing is showing strong momentum. This is probably a wave 3.

This article reviews the main targets for the bulls. We also analyse the potential bearish reversal zones.

EURUSD

Price charts and technical analysis

The EUR/USD is making a bullish break as expected. The swing up is probably a wave C (grey) of larger ABC pattern (grey).

The main targets are therefore the -27.2% and-61.8% Fibonacci levels. Also the 78.6% and 88.6% Fibonacci retracement levels are key.

  • A bearish reversal could take place in this resistance zone.

  • The bounce (orange arrows) would confirm the end of the ABC (grey) in wave B (pink).

  • A bearish wave C could take place in the larger wave 4 (purple).

  • Later on, even a wave D and E could develop as part of a triangle pattern.

On the 1 hour chart, price action completed a bearish abc pattern(light blue) in wave 4 (orange). 

The bullish swing is showing strong momentum. This is probably a wave 3 (light blue).

A bull flag chart pattern (grey arrows) would confirm the expected wave 4 (light blue) pattern. But price action must not break below the top of wave 1 otherwise the wave analysis becomes invalid (red circle).

EURUSD

The analysis has been done with the ecs.SWAT method and ebook.

Author

Chris Svorcik

Chris Svorcik

FS method

Chris Svorcik is a trader, analyst, and educator with over 15 years of experience in financial markets, specializing in moving averages, market structure, and price patterns.

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