|

EUR/USD: 1.0300 level could be soon under challenge again ahead of a rich agenda

The single European currency is again under mild pressure, approaching the level of 1.03 as, as expected the reaction of the previous days was of limited duration and beyond temporarily moving away from the recent low of 1.0220, it seems difficult for the European currency to develop any strong upward momentum at the moment .

Yesterday's agenda broadly confirmed the market picture as it has been shaped recently, with the data announced from the Eurozone having mixed signs and keeping concerns on the table, while yesterday's macroeconomic data from the United States once again exceeded expectations.

On the other hand, the market sentiment was strongly influenced by the statements of incoming President Donald Trump, who keeps high on the agenda the rhetoric of imposing further customs duties on imports .

US stock markets came under pressure with the risk aversion climate favoring the US dollar, which as is known traditionally functions as a safe haven currency.

At the same time, yields on US government debt securities remain high, with the 10-year bond having climbed to the level of 4.7.

The bets are currently focused on the possibility of two interest rate cuts by the Fed in 2025 totaling 50 basis points, which has affected the yields on US government debt securities, but I estimate that they are at high levels and I would expect a decompression relatively soon.

Today's agenda is quite rich, with consumer confidence in the eurozone, preliminary data on the labor sector in the United States, and the Minutes from the latest Fed meeting standing out.

No change in my thinking, I expect intense volatility and a further plunge in the European currency to consider the possibility of buying the euro.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).