|

EUR/JPY analysis: bearish momentum below 112.85

EUR/JPY Current price: 113.44

View Live Chart for the EUR/JPY

The EUR/JPY pair fell for a third consecutive week, extending its decline down to 112.06 as the Bank of Japan decided to leave its economic policy unchanged, fueling yen's demand. The pair however, managed to trim most of its weekly losses, closing at 113.44, as the yen shed some ground after testing the critical ¥100.00 against the greenback. According to the daily chart, the risk for the pair remains towards the downside, given that in the daily chart, the price is still well below a strongly bearish 100 DMA while technical indicators' recovery stalled below their mid-lines. The price has broken temporarily below 112.85, the 61.8% retracement of its latest daily recovery, now the immediate support. In the 4 hours chart, the Momentum indicator maintains a strong bullish slope within positive territory, but considering that the price retreated from its highs and remains well below its moving averages, and that the RSI indicator turned lower around 51, the upward potential seems limited, mostly if the pair is unable to recover firmly above 113.90, the 50% retracement of the mentioned rally.

Support levels: 112.85 112.40 112.00

Resistance levels: 113.90 114.35 114.80

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.