Regional Overview
Macro, FX & Rates: CZ FinMin sold bonds with negative yield again
(CZ) Czech FinMin sold about CZK 4.1bn of 0.00%/2020 government bond in an auction and CZK 4 billion of 1.00%/2026 in an auction yesterday. / Demand for Czech government bonds remains solid despite the fact that it has somehow weakened in comparison with the beginning of the year. Still, MinFin managed to sell the former bond with a slightly negative yield. At the same time, demand for longer maturity bond has increased in comparison with its previous auction.
Relatively less favourable conditions (from the Ministry’s point of view) reflect better absorption of liquidity in the Czech banking system which is also reflected in relatively stable EUR/CZK forward rates (especially those with shorter-term maturities).
This holds despite the fact that data from the Czech National Bank (CNB) indicate that volume of interventions has probably already exceeded EUR 11bn in March. CNB however keeps its view and says that size of its balance sheet has no implications at all for timing of the exit from the intervention regime.
Equities: VIG results broadly in line with estimates
(CZ) VIG: VIG reported its 2016’s preliminary figures, which were broadly in line with estimates, proposed EUR 0.8/shr dividend (in line with our exp., above cons. at EUR 0.7/shr) and provided 2019’s PBT target in the EUR 450-470mn range (cons. at EUR 469mn). / VIG announced its 2016’s preliminary figures, which were broadly in line with market consensus. Dividend should be a positive surprise for the market, while presented MT outlook doesn’t differ substantially from the market expectations. All in all likely neutral reaction expected.
LAST | PREVIOUS | CHANGE (%) | |
EURCZK | 27.02 | 27.02 | 0.00 |
EURHUF | 308.7 | 308.7 | 0.00 |
EURPLN | 4.281 | 4.281 | 0.00 |
LAST | PREVIOUS | CHANGE (bps) | |
CZGB 10Y | 0.945 | 0.945 | 0.0 |
HUGB 10Y | 3.57 | 3.57 | 0.0 |
PLGB 10Y | 3.69 | 3.69 | 0.0 |
LAST | PREVIOUS | CHANGE (%) | |
PX | 982.7 | 982.7 | 0.00 |
BUX | 32044 | 32044 | 0.00 |
WIG | 59453 | 59453 | 0.00 |
This non-exhaustive information is based on short-term forecasts for expected developments on the financial markets. KBC Bank cannot guarantee that these forecasts will materialize and cannot be held liable in any way for direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this document or its content. The document is not intended as personalized investment advice and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold investments described herein. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon sources KBC believes to be reliable, KBC does not guarantee the accuracy of this information, which may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute a KBC judgment as of the data of the report and are subject to change without notice.
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