|

Elliott Wave Keys for the EUR/USD this week

Imagine that you have in front of your eyes a bearish flag in the EURUSD, you feel that you must short immediately, but you do not feel confident in doing so, nor do you know how far the price can fall, these doubts abound among all traders when they see an opportunity to enter the market, fortunately here is the Elliott Wave theory it is not the holy grail but allows us to understand the complex price action to create a plan for the future. In the Elliott Wave count for this week of the EURUSD, we present a trading plan that serves to make high probability decisions.

Daily Chart

eurusd

 

Key elements in the daily analysis

• Wave "iv" (black) is active.

• The minimum objective of the "iv" wave (black) is the previous high 1.1250.

• Inside the "iv" wave (black) a corrective WXY (red) appears

• The X wave (red) has full attention; its end will start a long trade.

• The big question is when its end will be?

• Now let's jump to the four-hour chart to find the trade.

4 Hour Chart

eurusd

 

Key elements in the 4-hour analysis

• The main objective is to find the end of the X wave (red).

• All the tools to find the end of the trend are welcome.

• A bearish continuation flag (wave b (blue)) appears indicating that the price needs to fall.

Fibonacci levels indicate that there is a support 88.6% (1.1052) where the fall can end.

• It is time to think with a cool head and plan the strategy.

The bearish flag that appears in the graph indicates that the price can achieve a new low; this is the first condition for the future bullish trade. The price managed to break the flag and is about to create a new low (1.1066).

When the price meets the condition of reaching a new low, we will attack with all available tools to confirm the end of the X wave (red). Thus it will be possible to buy the EUR/USD and get on the bullish train. The target for the X wave (red) is 1.1052 or 88.6% Fibonacci retracement. If the price reaches the new low and bounces exceeding resistance 1.1066, there will be an attractive level to buy the pair.

Author

Juan Maldonado

Juan Maldonado

Elliott Wave Street

Juan Maldonado has a University degree in Finance, and Foreign trade started his trading career in 2008. Since 2010 has been analyzing the markets using Elliott Wave with different strategies to spot high probability trades.

More from Juan Maldonado
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds firm near 1.1850 amid USD weakness

EUR/USD remains strongly bid around 1.1850 in European trading on Monday. The USD/JPY slide-led broad US Dollar weakness helps the pair build on Friday's recovery ahead of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence data for February. 

GBP/USD holds medium-term bullish bias above 1.3600

The GBP/USD pair trades on a softer note around 1.3605 during the early European session on Monday. Growing expectation of the Bank of England’s interest-rate cut weighs on the Pound Sterling against the Greenback. 

Gold remains supported by China's buying and USD weakness as traders eye US data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its intraday move up and remains below the $5,100 mark heading into the European session amid mixed cues. Data released over the weekend showed that the People's Bank of China extended its buying spree for a 15th month in January. Moreover, dovish US Fed expectations and concerns about the central bank's independence drag the US Dollar lower for the second straight day, providing an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal.

Cardano steadies as whale selling caps recovery

Cardano (ADA) steadies at $0.27 at the time of writing on Monday after slipping more than 5% in the previous week. On-chain data indicate a bearish trend, with certain whales offloading ADA. However, the technical outlook suggests bearish momentum is weakening, raising the possibility of a short-term relief rebound if buying interest picks up.

Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week

I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels. Traders should be cautious: despite recent stabilization, upside recovery for these top three cryptocurrencies is capped as the broader trend remains bearish.