The DAX index has edged lower in the Monday session, after posting sharp gains on Friday. Currently, the DAX is at 11,270, down 0.26% on the day. It’s a light day on the fundamental calendar, with data releases in Germany or the eurozone. On Tuesday, German ZEW economic sentiment, which has been in deep freeze for months, is expected to improve to -14.1 points.
European blue-chip indices soared on Friday, as investors are optimistic about the trade talks between the U.S. and China. The DAX jumped 1.89% on the day, as the index climbed 3.60% last week, its best weekly performance since last March. Deutsche Bank enjoyed a banner day, climbing 4.63%. In France, the CAC index jumped 1.79%. A third round of talks ended in Beijing on Thursday, with Treasury Secretary Mnuchin calling the negotiations “productive”. Still, with no breakthrough in the offing, the big question is will President Trump suspend the March 1 deadline to impose new tariffs on China. The U.S. has threatened to raise tariffs on some $200 billion of Chinese goods from 10% to 25%, but Trump has said he could let the deadline pass if there is progress in the talks. On Thursday, China announced that exports had jumped 9.1% in January on an annualized basis, compared to the forecast of -3.2%. This was a strong rebound from December, when exports fell 4.4%.
The eurozone and Germany continue to record weak numbers and this could weigh on investor sentiment. On Thursday, Germany and the eurozone released fourth-quarter GDP data last week, and the numbers were a disappointment. German Preliminary GDP was flat at 0.0%, after a decline of 0.2% in the third quarter. The eurozone’s largest economy managed to avoid a technical recession, which is two consecutive declines in quarterly growth. Germany’s manufacturing industry is limping, with factory orders and industry production posting declines in December. Eurozone Flash GDP remained stuck at 0.2%, shy of the forecast of 0.3%. On an annualized basis, fourth quarter growth was 0.9% in Germany and 1.2% in eurozone, both weaker than the third quarter numbers. If eurozone and German data continues to sag, traders can expect the euro to lose ground in the near term.
Markets in long-weekend slumber
Regional markets to have their say on President’s Day
Economic Calendar
-
6:00 German Buba Monthly Report
-
4:00 Eurozone Current Account
-
5:00 German ZEW Economic Sentiment. Estimate -14.1
-
5:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment. Estimate -18.2
Previous Close: 11,299 Open: 11,296 Low: 11,256 High: 11,316 Close: 11,270
This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities.
Opinions are the authors — not necessarily OANDA’s, its officers or directors. OANDA’s Terms of Use and Privacy Policy apply. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD remained bid above 0.6500
AUD/USD extended further its bullish performance, advancing for the fourth session in a row on Thursday, although a sustainable breakout of the key 200-day SMA at 0.6526 still remain elusive.
EUR/USD faces a minor resistance near at 1.0750
EUR/USD quickly left behind Wednesday’s small downtick and resumed its uptrend north of 1.0700 the figure, always on the back of the persistent sell-off in the US Dollar ahead of key PCE data on Friday.
Gold holds around $2,330 after dismal US data
Gold fell below $2,320 in the early American session as US yields shot higher after the data showed a significant increase in the US GDP price deflator in Q1. With safe-haven flows dominating the markets, however, XAU/USD reversed its direction and rose above $2,340.
Bitcoin price continues to get rejected from $65K resistance as SEC delays decision on spot BTC ETF options
Bitcoin (BTC) price has markets in disarray, provoking a broader market crash as it slumped to the $62,000 range on Thursday. Meanwhile, reverberations from spot BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continue to influence the market.
US economy: slower growth with stronger inflation
The dollar strengthened, and stocks fell after statistical data from the US. The focus was on the preliminary estimate of GDP for the first quarter. Annualised quarterly growth came in at just 1.6%, down from the 2.5% and 3.4% previously forecast.