|

Daily Technical Outlook on Major - USD/JPY

fxsoriginal
   DAILY USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
Last Update At 11 Feb 2020 00:06GMT

Trend Daily Chart
Sideways

Daily Indicators
Neutral

21 HR EMA
109.75

55 HR EMA
109.75

Trend Hourly Chart
Sideways

Hourly Indicators
Neutral

13 HR RSI
51

14 HR DMI
-ve

Daily Analysis
Consolidation b4 one more rise

Resistance
110.67 - May 21 2019 high
110.28 - Jan's 7-1/2 month high (17th)
110.02 - Last week's high (Fri)

Support
109.54 - Last Fri's low
109.26 - Jan 29 high (now sup)
108.97 - 61.8% r of 108.32-110.02

USD/JPY - 109.76.. Dlr edged lower initially to 109.57 in Australia on Mon but failure to re-test Fri's 109.54 low (NY) lifted price to 109.85 in European morning. The pair later retreated in NY on renewed yen buying to 109.65.

Looking at the bigger picture, dlr's fall fm 118.66 (Dec 2016) to 107.27 in 2017 (Sep) confirms uptrend fm 2016 29-month bottom at 99.00 has made a top. Despite a strg rise fm 2018 16-month bottom at 104.57 to 114.55 in Oct, subsequent flash crash to a 9-month low at 104.79 in early Jan, then Aug's 33-month bottom at 104.46 suggests correction is over. Despite rally to 109.72 (Dec) n then to a 7-1/2 month peak of 110.28 in mid-Jan, subsequent selloff to 108.32 in Jan suggests said rise fm 104.46 has made a temp. top. Having said that, last week's rally abv 109.65 to 110.02 (Thur) suggests pullback has ended n would head to 110.67, then 111.56 (50% r of 118.66-104.46) later this month.

Today, dlr's cross-inspired rally fm 108.32 on last day of Jan to 110.02 due to risk-on trade suggests re-test of Dec's 110.28 peak would be seen, however , 'bearish divergences' on hourly indicators should cap price below 110.67 n yield correction. Only below 109.26/31 risks retracement to 109.97/00 b4 rebound.
USDJPY

Interested in USD/JPY technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 110.21
    2. R2 110.04
    3. R1 109.9
  1. PP 109.73
    1. S1 109.58
    2. S2 109.41
    3. S3 109.26

Author

AceTrader Team

Led by world-renowned technical analyst Wilson Leung, we have a team of 7 analysts monitoring the market and updating our recommendations and commentaries 24 hours a day.

More from AceTrader Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.