|

Daily technical and trading outlook – USD/CHF

fxsoriginal
 
Daily USD/CHF technical outlook

Last Update At 10 Jun 2021 00:22GMT

Trend daily chart

Sideways

Daily Indicators

Turning up

21 HR EMA

0.8959

55 HR EMA

0.8967

Trend hourly chart

Sideways

Hourly Indicators

Bullish convergences

13 HR RSI

50

14 HR DMI

-ve

Daily analysis

Consolidation with neutral bias.

Resistance

0.9010 - This week's high (Mon).
0.8989 - Tue's high.
0.8971 - Wed's high.

Support

0.8927 - Wed's 3-1/2 month low.
0.8898 - 61.8% proj. of 0.9182-0.8931 fm 0.9053.
0.8872 - Feb 16 low.

USD/CHF - 0.8960.. Although DLR moved narrowly in subdued Asia trading, price met renewed selling at 0.8971 in Europe n briefly penetrated May's 0.8931 low to 0.8927 on falling US yields in NY but then quickly rebounded to 0.8965.

On the bigger picture, DLR's impressive rise FM Jan's near 6-year bottom at 0.8758 to as high as 0.9472 on the 1st day of Apr due to rally in U.S. yields suggests erratic fall FM 1.0344 (2016 peak) to retrace LT rise FM 2015 record low at 0.7360 has possibly ended n price is en route to 0.9551 (50% r). Having said that, DLR's decline to a 3-1/2 month 0.8927 low on Wed due to broad-based usd's weakness signals up move FM 0.8758 has formed a top n further fall twd pivotal 0.8872 sup (Feb low) can't be ruled out, break, 0.8758 in Jul. On the upside, only a daily close abv 0.9053 signals low is made, then outlook would turn bullish for gain to 0.9185/95, abv needed to extend two 0.9245.

Today, as days 0.8927 low was accompanied by 'bullish convergences' on hourly indicators, subsequent rebound on safe-haven USD's buying would bring sideways swings, a daily close abv 0.8989 needed to signal temp. low is made n bring stronger retracement to 0.9010, 0.9030/40. Below 0.8927 may head two 0.8898.

USDCHF

Author

AceTrader Team

Led by world-renowned technical analyst Wilson Leung, we have a team of 7 analysts monitoring the market and updating our recommendations and commentaries 24 hours a day.

More from AceTrader Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD tumbles amid soaring US yields, ahead of jobs data

The Aussie Dollar stumbles over 1% against the US Dollar on Wednesday as US Treasury yields soar, with the US 5- and 10-year T-note yields surpassing the 5% threshold amid investor confidence in further Federal Reserve tightening. The AUD/USD trades at 0.7039 after peaking at 0.7118.

USD/JPY stands firm near mid-157.00s, close to two-week high

USD/JPY hovers around mid-157.00s in the Asian session on Wednesday, near two-week highs touched last Friday as the BoJ's dovish rate hike continues to undermine the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains firm amid the Fed's hawkish stance, adding support to the pair, though JPY intervention fears cap further gains. Markets pay little heed to the completion of the round of US-Iran indirect talks ahead of Trump-Xi meeting.

Gold falls to weekly troughs below $4,300

Gold rapidly leaves behind two daily upticks in a row and comes under heightened downside pressure midweek. Indeed, the precious metal breaches below the $4,300 mark per troy ounce to reach weekly lows amid the marked recovery in the US Dollar and the generalised upbeat tone in the US money market.

Australia unemployment rate expected to remain unchanged at 4.5% in August
Australia will release the August monthly employment report on Thursday at 01:30 GMT. Ahead of the announcement, analysts expect the country to have added 20K new jobs in the month, while the Unemployment Rate is expected to remain steady at 4.5%. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) report is also expected to show that the Participation Rate stood at 66.9%, unchanged from the previous month.
Freight costs may reach US shelves after the Fed plans to stop hiking

The Federal Reserve has forecast its main reference rate unchanged through 2027, a year when higher shipping costs are likely still reaching US store prices. Shipping a container from Asia to the US costs more than four times what it did before the war with Iran began in late February. International Monetary Fund research puts the peak effect on shop prices roughly a year out, in 2027.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.