Crude Oil: Weak correct bounce

Peter A Rosenstreich Swissquote Bank Ltd

GOLD (in USD)

Strong corrective bounce in play.

Gold has risen sharply, nearly invalidating the bearish outlook. A break of 1246 resistance would negate current bearish technical structure. Key resistance is located at 1263 (27/02/2017 high). Hourly support can be found at 1224.10 )16/03/2017 low).
In the long-term, the technical structure suggests that there is a growing upside momentum. A break of 1392 (17/03/2014) is necessary ton confirm it, A major support can be found at 1045 (05/02/2010 low).

SILVER (in USD)

Further upside gains.

Silver rose sharply Friday, invalidating the bearish outlook linked to the previous bearish pause. Correct pullback has failed to find seller indicating test of 17.56 resistance (16/03/2017 high). Strong support is given at 16.84 (27/01/2016 low).
In the long-term, the death cross indicates that further downsides are very likely. Resistance is located at 25.11 (28/08/2013 high). Strong support can be found at 11.75 (20/04/2009).

Crude Oil (in USD)

Weak correct bounce.

Crude oil's bearish pressures continues despite correct bounce due to a short-squeeze. The commodity had been unable to mount a serious challenge to resistance at 49.61 (08/12/2017 low) hourly support given at 47.09 (016/03/2017 low) Expected to see deeper selling pressures.
In the long-term, crude oil has recovered after its sharp decline last year. However, we consider that further weakness are very likely. Strong support lies at 24.82 (13/11/2002) while resistance can now be found at 55.24 (03/01/2017 high).

Author

Peter A Rosenstreich

Swissquote Bank Ltd

Peter Rosenstreich is Swissquote Bank’s Head of Market Strategy and manages the global strategy desk; he has held various positions in several banking institutions in the United States, Europe & Asia.

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