CHFJPY May Be Forming a Long Term Top
Last week's "Chart of the Day" highlighted the JPY futures (6J) as they were breaking down through wedge support. This has taken place, and now intervention talk is louder than ever. As this has happened, the risk for intervention has indeed increased and with the CHFJPY, it may pose a better risk/reward for fresh short positions (or long JPY).
The Swiss National bank (SNB) keeps rates at 1.5%, which is lower than most G10 central banks. And with the Bank of Japan coming out of "negative rates" and eventually raising rates over time, the gap between the SNB and BOJ should tighten. Especially as the SNB is hell bent on bringing down the value of their currency and cutting rates near term.
Technically, the CHFJPY has bounced back to the 61.8% retracement of the February highs to March lows. And this could allow for a good risk/reward entry for new short positions. Clearly, the 200dma has offered support, and a break below the 200dma may allow traders to add to a profitable position on any sustained break below the 200dma which could also suggest a rounded top reversal pattern is taking place longer term.
Any reviews, news, research, analysis, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary, does not constitute investment advice and may undergo changes from time to time. Trading the Financial and Currency Markets on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as to your favor. Before entering trading Financial and Currency Markets, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. There is a possibility that you could sustain a loss of some or more of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money which you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with Financial and Currency Markets trading, and in case you have any doubt, rather seek advice from an independent financial advisor. FOREXANALYTIX LLC, its owners, employees, agents or affiliates do not give investment advice, therefore FOREXANALYTIX LLC assumes no liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may be suffered directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. We strongly encourage consultation with a licensed representative or financial advisor regarding any particular investment or use of any investment strategy. As part of our service we provide “Patterns in Play” (abbreviated as “P.I.P.’s”). These PiPs are derived from certain clearly defined patterns that the team members identify from their analysis. Each PiP is indicated with its corresponding theoretical entry, target and invalidation levels. Please note that these are not trade recommendations; they are simply our team’s interpretation of these patterns and their theoretical levels. Any information or material contained on this website including, but not limited to, its design, layout, look, appearance and graphics is owned by or licensed to FOREXANALYTIX LLC. Reproduction is prohibited without FOREX ANALYTIX LLC prior license in writing.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD flirts with daily tops near 1.0730
The continuation of the selling pressure in the Greenback now lends further oxygen to the risk complex, encouraging EUR/USD to revisit the area of daily highs near 1.0730.
USD/JPY looks stable around 156.50 as suspicious intervention lingers
USD/JPY remains well on the defensive in the mid-156.00s albeit off daily lows, as market participants continue to digest the still-unconfirmed FX intervention by the Japanese MoF earlier in the Asian session.
Gold advances for a third consecutive day
Gold fluctuates in a relatively tight channel above $2,330 on Monday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield corrects lower and helps XAU/USD limit its losses ahead of this week's key Fed policy meeting.
Week Ahead: Bitcoin could surprise investors this week Premium
Two main macroeconomic events this week could attempt to sway the crypto markets. Bitcoin (BTC), which showed strength last week, has slipped into a short-term consolidation.
Five Fundamentals for the week: Fed fears, Nonfarm Payrolls, Middle East promise an explosive week Premium
Higher inflation is set to push Fed Chair Powell and his colleagues to a hawkish decision. Nonfarm Payrolls are set to rock markets, but the ISM Services PMI released immediately afterward could steal the show.