|

Bonds are currently unchanged at 139’29

Financials: Dec. Bonds are currently unchanged at 139’29, 10 Yr. Notes 1.5 lower at 118’16.5 and 5 Yr. Notes 1 lower at 112’10.5. Yields on Treasuries have slowly risen over the last week in part due to favorable economic numbers for Housing and Consumer Sentiment along with anticipation of a rate hike next week. The 10 Yr. yield is now at 3.07% and the 30 Yr. Bond at 3.22%. Curiously the spread between the 10 Yr. and 30 Yr. remains at 15 basis points. I feel this will widen to 25 pts. over the next six months.   I will be on the sidelines until next Wednesday, after the FOMC meeting.

Grains: Dec. Corn is currently fractionally higher at 346’0, Nov. Beans 1’0 lower at 829’2 and Dec. Wheat 2’6 lower at 519’6. We remain long Dec. Corn from below the 352’0 level. I will be interested in the long side of Beans should they break another 40-50 cents to the 785’0 area.

Cattle: Live and Feeder Cattle continued to rally to new near term highs. As mentioned last week I wanted to be a seller in Dec. LC above 117.00. The LCZ18 traded just above 118.45 giving us plenty of opportunity to initiate a short position. I am currently using a 119.50 protective buy stop and will lower the stop to 118.75 if the market trades below 116.775.

Silver: Dec. Silver is currently 6 cents higher at 14.34. I remain long and will use a protective sell to at 14.03.

S&P's: Dec. S&P’s are currently 10.00 higher at 2924.75. Treat as a trading affair between 2892.00 and 2929.00

Currencies: As of this writing the Dec. Euro is currently 99 higher at 1.18540, the Yen 12 higher at 0.89775, the Pound 149 higher at 1.3347 and the Dollar Index 63.4 lower at 93.485. If you remain long the Pound (last weeks’ objective was 1.3300) either take profits or raise your stop to 1.3170.

Author

Marc Nemenoff

Marc Nemenoff

PRICE Futures Group

Mr. Nemenoff is a 37-year veteran of the futures industry.

More from Marc Nemenoff
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.