• Yoshihide Suga has been confirmed as Japan’s new Prime Minister by Parliament.
  • The BOJ is expected to keep its monetary policy unchanged, may review outlooks.
  • USD/JPY bearish strength is likely to prevail after central banks’ announcements.

The Bank of Japan is having a monetary policy meeting, and the result of it will be unveiled early on Thursday. This week, however, there are news that overshadowed the usually non-eventful announcement.

Prime Minister Suga to follow Abe’s path

Former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, the father of Abenomics, has announced his resignation amid health issues, and Yoshihide Suga has been elected to replace him, following a vote in the local Parliament this Wednesday. He still needs to sworn before Emperor Naruhito at the Imperial Palace, but by the time of the BOJ’s meeting, he will be the Japanese premier.  Suga is expected to appoint many of Abe’s cabinet members to his own.

BOJ to remain on hold

The Bank of Japan is largely anticipated to maintain its current monetary policy, with the main rate at -0.10% and the focus on keeping the yield-curve under control. The Japanese economy has been hit by the pandemic as it happened to every other economy. The country reported its worst GDP fall on record in Q2, and while there are some signs of recovery, it is being slow and painful.

Policymakers may revise their economic outlooks, but even with an upgrade of growth and inflation figures, the event has little chances of having a significant impact in the JPY.

Ahead of the BOJ, the US Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision. The central bank has announced a new inflation policy framework, in which it targets average inflation over time. Pretty much that means that the US policymakers won’t rush into a rate hike anytime soon, even if inflation surges above 2%.

USD/JPY probable reaction

After a couple of weeks of ignoring the dollar’s weakness, the USD/JPY pair has finally broken lower. It is heading into both central banks announcements trading at its lowest in two months.

As said, the BOJ has little chances of having an impact on the JPY, but the same doesn’t go for the Fed. The US Central Bank will likely set the tone ahead of the Japanese one. A strong static support area comes around 104.70, with a  break below it exposing 104.18, this year low.

If somehow the market finds a reason to buy the dollar, the immediate resistance is 105.50 ahead of the 106.00 figure. Still, the pair would need to advance beyond 106.70 to change its current negative bias.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

Analysis feed

FXStreet Trading Signals now available!

Access to real-time signals, community and guidance now!

Latest Analysis


Latest Forex Analysis

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.17, shrugging off upbeat US consumer confidence

EUR/USD is trading above 1.17, holding its gains despite upbeat US data. The CB Consumer Confidence jumped to 101.8 points, beating estimates. Fed speakers are awaited and the presidential debate is eyed.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats from highs amid Brexit, coronavirus uncertainty

GBP/USD is retreating from the highs close to 1.29 as concerns about Brexit talks and rising UK coronavirus cases are taking their toll on the pound. 

GBP/USD News

XAU/USD holds steady near multi-day tops, around $1890 region

Gold built on the previous day's goodish bounce from 100-day SMA and edged higher through the first half of the trading action on Tuesday. The overnight sustained move beyond 100-hour SMA was seen as a key trigger for bullish traders and pushed the commodity to multi-day tops.

Gold News

Presidential Debate Preview: Trump may lose due to his own buildup, market implications

The first presidential debate is set to shake up the elections campaign.  President Trump's playing down of challenger Biden's skills may turn into a double-edged sword. Markets will move on implications for a new fiscal relief package. 

Read more

WTI drops to fresh lows near $39.70 ahead of API

Prices of the American benchmark for the sweet light crude oil broke below the $40.00 mark per barrel and slipped back to the $39.70 region on Tuesday.

Oil News

Forex Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures