It can be certainly said that AUD/USD has surprised on the upside recently. Having reached several important resistances, and attempting breakout above them, what else can be said about the pair’s current and upcoming performance?

AUDUSD

Let’s remember our yesterday’s observations regarding the AUD/USD price action:

(…) A rebound followed, taking the pair sharply up right to the medium-term declining resistance line, which could trigger a reversal in the very near future however.

Nevertheless,  taking into account the lack of the sell signals, another upswing and a test of the next declining resistance line can’t be ruled out.

Again, AUD/USD has moved higher yesterday, in line with our expectations. The pair moved above the resistance line, and broke above the late-October and early-November peaks, which is a bullish development.

This is especially so when we take into account the fact that the exchange rate also broke above the orange resistance area created by both the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (in red) and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (in green).

The bulls however didn’t manage to hold gained ground, and the previously broken green line based on the October lows encouraged the sellers to act.

As a result, the exchange rate pulled back earlier today and invalidated the earlier breakout above the previous peaks and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This suggests that a reversal and lower values of AUD/USD may be just around the corner.

The daily indicators haven’t flashed any sell signals however. This means that a retest of the green line based on the October lows at the beginning of the coming week can’t be ruled out.

Should we see reliable signs of the bulls’ weakness, we’ll consider going short.
 

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and Sunshine Profits' employees and associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Radomski is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Przemyslaw Radomski's, CFA reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

Analysis feed

Latest Forex Analysis

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD moving one step closer to 1.1000

The shared currency remains under pressure amid dismal local data and persistent demand for the greenback in a risk-averse environment. EUR/USD trading near a daily low of 1.1009.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD trims early gains, trades in the red

The GBP/USD pair has retreated from its daily high of 1.3105 and now trades marginally lower daily basis near 1.3050, amid dollar’s strength, looming BOE and Brexit.

GBP/USD News

Crypto market: FOMO mode on, the late-comer's doubt

The crypto market opens the trading week by taking advantage of the momentum of the movement that started early Sunday morning. As if it were an established rhythm, this week it is time to go up after going down the previous one, and up again the previous one.

Read more

WTI bounces from 3-month lows near $52.00

There is no respite for the barrel of WTI on Monday, as prices of the American benchmark for the sweet light crude oil tumbled to the $52.00 region in early trade, area last visited in early October 2019.

Oil News

USD/JPY: Bears lead on the run to safety

Coronavirus getting stronger, infections to continue to rise. Risk-off Monday, an empty macroeconomic calendar exacerbates sentiment trading. USD/JPY to accelerate its decline on a break below 108.65, a critical Fibonacci support level.

USD/JPY News

Forex Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures