|

AUD/USD: still trying to attract buyers

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7610

  • Australian business sentiment deteriorated in May according to NAB.
  • US inflation needs to diverge sharply to actually affect the pair today.

Improved market's mood helped the Aussie erase its early losses against the greenback, triggered by disappointing local data. The AUD NAB's Business confidence index plunged to 6 in May, while the Business Conditions index fell to 15, both well below their April figures and missing market's forecast. The AUD/USD pair fell with the news to a daily low of 0.7583, quickly recovering after the Trump-Kim summit spurred confidence within speculative interest. The positive tone in equities is underpinning the pair, and will likely remain on the upside, as long as shares hold on to gains. Upcoming US inflation figures may have little effect on the pair if there's no big divergence in the outcome.

The pair, however, was unable to extend its gains beyond the current 0.7610/20 region, where it has been meeting selling interest ever since the week started. Ahead of US inflation data, the pair is mild bullish in the short term, above a bearish 20 SMA and with technical indicators aiming higher above their midlines, although with limited strength. The pair would need to advance clearly beyond the 0.7625 level to be able to extend its gains up to 0.7660,  a major Fibonacci resistance.

Support levels: 0.7565 0.7505 0.7470

Resistance levels: 0.7625 0.7660 0.7700  

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold bulls seem hesitant below $4,500 amid modest USD bounce ahead of US NFP

Gold remains on the defensive below the $4,500 mark through the Asian session, snapping a two-day winning streak amid a modest US Dollar uptick. The commodity, however, remains close to the weekly high, which it touched the previous day, as traders keenly await the release of the closely watched US monthly employment details. The popularly known US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report will provide more cues about the Fed's policy path amid receding bets of a September rate hike.

Bitcoin clears $80,000 on reduced rate hike odds – Zcash, Ethena rise

Bitcoin is trading above $80,000 on Friday, sustaining the broader cryptocurrency market's risk-on sentiment. Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller signaled support for a potential pause in interest rates on Thursday, lowering the odds of a September rate hike to 50%. Zcash (ZEC) and Ethena (ENA) emerge as top performers over the last 24 hours.

NFP preview: Can jobs data ease rate hike fears?

As we move to the end of the week, the focus shifts to the macro data, and to the strength of the labour market in the US. August payrolls are released on Friday at 1330 BST, and the market is expecting a reading of 58k. The unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.1% and wage growth is expected to moderate slightly to 3% last month, down from 3.2%.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.