|

AUD/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

AUD/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Trend

Mode: Impulsive

Structure: Blue wave 1.

Position: Black wave 3.

Direction next lower degrees: Blue wave 2.

Details: Black wave 2 looking completed at 0.64434. Now blue wave 1 of black wave 2 is in play. Wave Cancel invalid level: 0.64434

The "AUDUSD Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge Day Chart" dated 28 February 24, provides a comprehensive analysis of the Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar (AUDUSD) currency pair within the framework of Elliott Wave theory. The analysis is conducted on the daily chart.

The identified "FUNCTION" is "Trend," signifying a focus on identifying and participating in the prevailing market direction. This suggests a strategic approach to capitalize on sustained and directional movements in the market.

The specified "MODE" is "Impulsive," indicating that the market is currently characterized by strong, forceful, and directional price movements. This environment is conducive to trend-following strategies.

The described "STRUCTURE" is "Blue wave 1," denoting the specific wave within the Elliott Wave hierarchy. Blue wave 1 typically represents the initial phase of a larger impulsive move, suggesting the commencement of a new trend.

The identified "POSITION" is "Black wave 3," indicating the current position within the broader Elliott Wave pattern. Black wave 3 is usually a powerful and extended wave within the impulse sequence, reflecting a strong and sustained trend.

Regarding "DIRECTION NEXT LOWER DEGREES," the focus is on "Blue wave 2," suggesting the anticipated correction within the larger impulsive move (Black wave 3). This correction is expected to be a temporary pullback against the prevailing trend.

The "DETAILS" section notes that "Black wave 2 looking completed at 0.64434. Now blue wave 1 of black wave 2 is in play." This indicates that the corrective movement of Black wave 2 is considered concluded, and the market is now in the early stages of the next impulsive move (Blue wave 1).

The "Wave Cancel invalid level" is set at 0.64434, serving as a critical reference point. A breach beyond this level would invalidate the current wave count and prompt a reevaluation of the analysis.

In summary, the AUDUSD Elliott Wave Analysis for the daily chart on 28 February 24, suggests the completion of a corrective phase (Black wave 2) and the initiation of a new impulsive move (Blue wave 1). Traders are advised to monitor the invalidation level at 0.64434 for potential shifts in the wave count.

AUD/USD day chart

AUDUSD

AUD/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Trend

Mode: Impulsive

Structure: Red wave 2

Position: Blue wave 1

Direction next higher degrees: Red wave 3

Details: Red wave 2  is in play and looking near to end between fib level 50.00 to 61.80. After that red wave 3 will start. Wave Cancel invalid level: 0.64434

The "AUDUSD Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge 4 Hour Chart" dated 28 February 24, presents an in-depth analysis of the Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar (AUDUSD) currency pair using the Elliott Wave framework. The focus is primarily on the 4-hour timeframe.

The identified "FUNCTION" is "Trend," indicating the primary objective of identifying and capitalizing on the prevailing market direction. This suggests a focus on capturing sustained, directional movements in the market.

The specified "MODE" is "Impulsive," suggesting that the market is currently characterized by strong, forceful, and directional price movements. This environment is conducive to identifying and participating in the primary trend.

The described "STRUCTURE" is "Red wave 2," denoting the specific wave within the Elliott Wave hierarchy. Red wave 2 typically represents a corrective phase following an impulsive move, suggesting a temporary counter-trend movement.

The identified "POSITION" is "Blue wave 1," indicating the current position within the broader Elliott Wave pattern. Blue wave 1 typically represents the initial phase of a larger impulsive move, signifying the beginning of a new trend.

In terms of "DIRECTION NEXT HIGHER DEGREES," the analysis emphasizes "Red wave 3," suggesting the anticipation of the next sub-wave within the broader Elliott Wave structure, which would follow the completion of red wave 2.

The "DETAILS" section notes that "Red wave 2 is in play and looking near to end between fib level 50.00 to 61.80. After that, red wave 3 will start." This suggests that the corrective movement of red wave 2 is expected to conclude soon, with a likely impulsive move (red wave 3) to follow.

The "Wave Cancel invalid level" is set at 0.64434, serving as a critical reference point. A breach beyond this level would invalidate the current wave count and prompt a reevaluation of the analysis.

In summary, the AUDUSD Elliott Wave Analysis for the 4-hour chart on 28 February 24, indicates the potential completion of a corrective phase (red wave 2) and the imminent initiation of a new impulsive move (red wave 3). Traders are advised to monitor the completion of red wave 2 and consider the invalidation level at 0.64434.

AUD/USD four hour chart

Chart

AUD/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.