|

AUD/USD analysis: down for the day, but holding above key Fibonacci support

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7575

  • Australian construction expected to have improved in Q1.
  • Aussie lead by equities, down on Wall Street inability to continue rallying.

After trading as high as 0.7605, the AUD/USD pair turned lower, entering negative territory during US trading hours, now hovering above the 0.7565 Fibonacci level, the 38.2% retracement of its latest weekly slump. The Aussie was backed by the positive momentum of equities and commodities at the beginning of the day but eased in US trading hours as Wall Street was unable to extend its Monday's rally, while crude oil prices gave back and closed lower after reaching fresh multi-year highs. Australia will release its Westpac Leading Index for April during the upcoming Asian session, previously at -0.2%, and the Q1 Construction Work done, seen recovering and printing 1.0% after previous -19.4% slump. The latest will likely have a stronger effect on the AUD, as the housing sector worries the RBA. From a technical point of view, the 4 hours chart shows that the pair stalled its recovery around a modestly bearish 200 SMA and a few pips below the 50% retracement of the mentioned decline at 0.7620, but also that so far is holding above the mentioned Fibonacci level at 0.7565, the immediate support. The 20 SMA in the mentioned chart gains upward traction below the current level, while technical indicators eased modestly but remain well above their mid-lines, indicating limited selling interest for the time being.

Support levels: 0.7520 0.7470 0.7435  

Resistance levels: 0.7590 0.7625 0.7660

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1900 as USD recovers

EUR/USD trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day, below 1.1900 in the European session on Thursday. A modest rebound in the US Dollar is weighing on the pair, despite an upbeat market mood. Traders keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims data for further trading impetus. 

GBP/USD holds above 1.3600 after UK data dump

\GBP/USD moves little while holding above 1.3600 in the European session on Thursday, following the release of the UK Q4 preliminary GDP, which showed a 0.1% growth against a 0.2% increase expected. The UK industrial sector activity deteriorated in Decembert, keeping the downward pressure intact on the Pound Sterling. 

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses as reduced March Fed rate cut bets underpin USD

Gold languishes near the lower end of its daily range heading into the European session on Thursday. The precious metal, however, lacks follow-through selling amid mixed cues and currently trades above the $5,050 level, well within striking distance of a nearly two-week low touched the previous day.

Cardano eyes short-term rebound as derivatives sentiment improves

Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.257 at the time of writing on Thursday, after slipping more than 4% so far this week. Derivatives sentiment improves as ADA’s funding rates turn positive alongside rising long bets among traders.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token

Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility.