|

AUD/USD analysis: Chinese growth data could take the pair out of its range

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7401

  • A busy macroeconomic calendar in Asia should make trading around the pair more lively.
  • The positive tone of equities' markets keeps the pair afloat, upside capped by softer metals' prices.

The AUD/USD pair traded uneventfully around the 0.7400 figure for a sixth consecutive week. Despite a better market mood sent US indexes to multi-month highs,  as the US and the EU averted a trade war, the pair was unable to run beyond the 0.7440/50 static resistance area, where strong selling interest has been capping advances ever since mid-June. A scarce Australian macroeconomic calendar, as the country only released quarterly inflation figures, added to lack of directional conviction, alongside with persistent weakness in base metals. These upcoming days, China will release its official and Caixin business activity indexes for July, while Australia will offer some housing data, retail sales, and more relevant, the TD Securities Inflation estimates for July. The pair is technically neutral, with sellers around the mentioned 0.7447/50 region and buyers surging on approaches to 0.7300. The daily chart shows that the pair is still neutral, hovering around a flat 20 DMA and with technical indicators back and forth around their midlines, although the pair remains well below a bearish 100 DMA, this last around 0.7520. Shorter term, and according to the 4 hours chart, the technical picture is quite alike, as the pair is trading a few pips below a congestion of moving averages, while indicators head nowhere around their midlines.

Support levels: 0.7370 0.7330 0.7300     

Resistance levels: 0.7445 0.7490 0.7520 

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds around 1.1750 after weak German and EU PMI data

EUR/USD maintains its range trade at around 1.1750 in European trading on Tuesday. Weaker-than-expected December PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone make it difficult for the Euro to find demand, while investors refrain from taking large USD positions ahead of key employment data.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3400 after upbeat UK PMI data

GBP/USD gains traction and trades in positive territory above 1.3400 on Tuesday as the British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data. Later in the day, crucial data releases from the US, including Nonfarm Payrolls, Retail Sales and PMI, could trigger the next big action in the pair.

Gold retreats from seven week highs on profit-taking; all eyes on US NFP release

Gold price loses momentum below $4,300 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday, pressured by some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from the shorter-term futures traders. Furthermore, optimism around Ukraine peace talks could weigh on the safe-haven asset like Gold.

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to point to cooling labor market in November

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for October and November on Tuesday at 13:30 GMT. Economists expect Nonfarm Payrolls to rise by 40,000 in November. The Unemployment Rate is likely to remain unchanged at 4.4% during the same period.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.