|

AUD/USD analysis: Aussie at risk of retesting yearly lows

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7368

  • Australia and China to release July Services PMI.
  • Aussie remains under pressure despite Wall Street reversed pre-opening slump.

The AUD/USD pair fell to 0.7354, its lowest in two weeks, following the sharp decline in Asian and European equities, dragged lower by renewed trade war concerns, and despite positive news coming from Australia, as the country's trade balance surplus more than doubled expectations in June, up to 1,873M, amid a 3% increase in exports and a 1% decline in imports. The pair attempted a recovery during US trading hours as Wall Street bounced from pre-opening lows, but the shallow advance fell short of changing the negative tone of the pair. Australia will release early Friday the AIG Performance of Services Index for July, previously at 63, while China will offer the Caixin Services PMI, forecasted for July at 53.7 from 53.9 in June. However, market players may choose to wait until the US Nonfarm Payroll release later in the day, to make stronger bets. Technically, the pair is at the lower end of its range, pointing to test the 0.7300 region where strong buying interest has surged multiple times these last few weeks. Shorter term, and according to the 4 hours chart, the risk is skewed to the downside although lacking momentum, as the pair is developing below converging moving averages, while technical indicators stabilized well into negative territory.

Support levels: 0.7330 0.7300 0.7250

Resistance levels: 0.7400 0.7445 0.7485

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 ahead of US data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold stuck around $4,300 as markets turn cautious

Gold loses its bullish momentum and retreats below $4,350 after testing this level earlier on Monday. XAU/USD, however, stays in positive territory as the US Dollar remains on the back foot on growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy outlook next year.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.