|

AUD/USD Analysis: at a brink of a bearish breakout

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7078

  • Aussie hit by China's decision to cap imports from Australian coal.
  • RBA's Governor Lowe to testify before the House of Representatives' Standing Committee on Economics.

Aussie bulls started the day cheering a solid Australian January employment report, and where caught off guard when China announced a ban to coal imports from the country, resulting in the AUD/USD pair falling from a daily high of 0.7206 to as low as 0.7069, trading at the end of the day a handful of pips above this last. According to official data, the country added 39.1K new jobs in January, largely surpassing the 15.0K expected, while the unemployment rate remained steady at 5%, despite the participation rate rose to 65.7%. Furthermore, the report showed that a whopping 65.4K new full-time positions were created, while part-time employment decreased by 26.3K. Later during the Asian session, news hit the wires announcing that one of China's biggest ports has banned imports of Australian coal, and will cap overall coal imports for this year at 12M tonnes. The poor performance of Wall Street kept the pair at daily lows during the American afternoon. RBA Governor Lowe is due to testify before the House of Representatives' Standing Committee on Economics, in Sydney early Friday, with no other relevant even scheduled in Australia.

The pair is short-term bearish, according to the 4 hours chart, now developing below all of its moving averages and with the 20 SMA accelerating south below the larger ones, all of them over 80 pips above the current level. Technical indicators in the mentioned time-frame head lower within negative levels and at fresh weekly lows, with the downward strength slowing but far from changing. The 0.7070 support area has proved strong in the past, and a break below it could probably result in a test of the 0.7000 figure during the upcoming sessions.

Support levels: 0.7070 0.7035 0.7000

Resistance levels: 0.7100 0.7140 0.7190

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD drops to multi-month troughs near 1.3140

GBP/USD adds to Tuesday’s pullback and recedes to the lowest level since November 2025 near 1.3140. A firmer Greenback and continued political turmoil in the UK are keeping Cable under persistent pressure, with little sign of a meaningful recovery.

EUR/USD bounces off YTD lows around 1.1320

EUR/USD extends its decline on Wednesday, falling to fresh yearly lows near 1.1320. The pair remains on the defensive as the US Dollar continues to draw support from hawkish Fed expectations and uncertainty over the outcome of US-Iran peace negotiations.

Gold trims losses, back above $4,000

Gold retreats further and breaches below the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce for the first time since November 2025 on Wednesday. Higher-for-longer Fed expectations and a broadly firmer US Dollar continue to weigh on the precious metal, while uncertainty surrounding a potential US-Iran peace agreement has done little to revive demand for the safe haven space.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade under pressure as September Fed rate-hike odds increase

Bitcoin is trading between $62,000 and $63,000 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by headwinds stemming from macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

5.90% to 5.45%: Why the Pound ignored the bond market’s relief rally

Keir Starmer resigned on Monday, and the Pound barely moved. That near-silence is the tell. Sterling's real driver these past four months has not been the prime minister, nor the left-leaning frontrunner lining up to replace him, but the long end of the gilt curve, which answers to a force no British politician controls.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.