|

XAU/USD back on the high side as bidders seek $2,100 post-US ISM PMI miss

  • XAU/USD climbs back over $2,060.00 on Friday.
  • A miss on US ISM PMI numbers are fueling investor appetite.
  • Hopes for Fed rate cuts mount with each data print that suggests easing inflation.

Spot Gold caught a bump on Friday after the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) came in below expectations, sparking renewed hopes of the Federal Reserve (Fed) delivering rate cuts sooner rather than later.

The US ISM Manufacturing PMI for February unexpectedly slid back on Friday, printing at 47.8 versus the forecast increase to 49.5 against the previous month's 49.1.

Read more: ISM Manufacturing PMI declines to 47.8 in February vs. 49.5 expected

The Fed's latest Monetary Policy Report revealed the Fed is cautiously optimistic that inflation is coming under control, albeit with some notable sticking points in a still-tight labor market and stubborn shelter and rent prices inflation caused by housing supply constraints.

Federal Reserve MPR: Inflation expectations are broadly consistent with 2% goal

Technical outlook

Spot Gold is rallying hard on Friday, crossing $2,060.00 in the early US session and cracked $2,080.00 at the time of writing. Near-term XAU/USD bids caught a technical bounce from the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $2,030.00. 

XAU/USD daily candlesticks are set for a break of the $2,100.00 price handle, and the nearest technical ceiling beyond that rests near all-time highs near $2,144.48 set in early December. 

XAU/USD hourly chart

XAU/USD daily chart

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.