|

WTI tested $ 67.50 amid bearish fundamentals

  • Bearish EIA crude inventories data and rising Russian output drag oil lower.
  • Looking for a test of $ 67 amid renewed US-Sino trade tensions.

WTI (oil futures on NYMEX) failed once again above the $ 68 handle and returned to the red zone, now making headways towards the eleven-day lows of $ 67.33 reached a day before.

WTI: Focus on EIA crude stockpiles data

The unexpected build in the US crude stockpiles, as published by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday, keeps the sentiment around the barrel of WTI undermined. The EIA showed that the US crude inventories rose 3.8 million barrels last week against an expected 2.8 billion barrels decline.

Moreover, a broadly firmer US dollar and intensifying US-China trade dispute also weighs negatively on the higher-yielding oil. Meanwhile, the latest leg down in the black gold can be attributed to latest Russian Energy Ministry data published last hour that showed that Russian oil output rose by 150,000 barrels per day (bpd) in July from a month earlier.

Looking ahead, the prices will continue to get influenced by the USD dynamics and broader market sentiment until Friday’s US rigs count data.

WTI Technical Levels

According to FXStreet’s Analyst at Joshua Gibson, “With WTI crude barrels falling back beneath 68.00, buyers will be looking to halt any further declines into the last swing low at the 67.00 level in hopes of propping prices back over last week's high of 70.40 with eyes on the year's current highs of 75.35, while bears will be looking to drive the action further down into mid-June's lows at 63.50.”

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.