|

WTI surpasses $100.00 as IEA renews supply shortage worries

  • WTI has climbed near $102.00 as IEA renewed fears of supply shortage.
  • The expectation of supply shortage from Russia has already been discounted by investors.
  • The OPEC’s positive response to the urge of US President Joe Biden will fix the demand-supply gap.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, has rebounded sharply after hitting a low of $92.37 on Tuesday. The oil prices have increased around 9% overnight on renewed fears of supply worries due to sanctions on Russia by the Western leaders. Investors should be informed that the Russian economy attracted sanctions from the West on its invasion of Ukraine, three weeks back.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) said three million barrels per day (bpd) of Russian oil and products could be shut in from next month. That loss would be far greater than an expected drop in demand of one million bpd from higher fuel prices. The headline faded the promise of the OPEC cartel, which responded positively to the urge of US President Joe Biden to pump more oil to fill the demand-supply gap.

The statement from the IEA has impacted positively for the oil prices but investors must keep in mind that the previous rally in the oil prices was banked upon the expected shortage of supply from Russia. Therefore, the impact is known to the market and the rebound in oil prices is mere a pullback and not a reversal.

EIA oil inventories

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported higher oil stockpiles on Wednesday. The oil stockpiles figure landed at 4.345M outperformed the preliminary estimate of -1.375M and the previous print of -1.863M.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to extend advance above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair posts a fresh weekly low near 1.1740 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD tests 1.3450 support after moving below nine-day EMA

GBP/USD remains subdued for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.3460 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a weakening of a bullish bias as the pair is positioned slightly below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

Gold jumps on US rate cut prospects, safe-haven demand

Gold price extends the rally above $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. Gold's price has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979. The rally in the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).