|

WTI struggles at weekly top above $78.00 amid joint oil reserve release

  • WTI fades upside momentum after two-day rebound from monthly low.
  • Japan tracks US, China to release oil reserves but markets seem unconvinced.
  • API inventories rose, EIA stockpile data, US calendar eyed for fresh impulse.

WTI crude oil prices retreat to $78.40 after refreshing the weekly top during early Wednesday.

Announcements by the US, China and Japanese government leaders to use their Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) join downbeat inventory data from industry reports and softer US dollar to challenge the oil traders of late.

US President Joe Biden touted the largest-ever release from the US SPR on Tuesday. Japan tracks the moves and announced plans to auction 4.2 million barrels of oil while China has previously marked the move to tame the inflation pressure, due to the energy prices.

“The United States said on Tuesday it would release millions of barrels of oil from strategic reserves in coordination with China, India, South Korea, Japan and Britain, to try to cool prices after OPEC+ producers repeatedly ignored calls for more crude,” said Reuters.

The weekly oil stockpile data from the American Petroleum Institute (API), 2.037M versus 0.655M prior, also exert downside pressure on the WTI crude oil prices.

It's worth noting that softer yields and the sluggish US Dollar Index (DXY) challenge the bearish bias over the oil prices.

Moving on, multiple US data and the weekly official oil inventories from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), prior 26B, will be important to watch for immediate direction. Among the other catalysts, October Durable Goods Orders, the second estimate of the Q3 Gross Domestic Product, the latest FOMC Meeting Minutes and October core PCE inflation are the key to follow.

Technical analysis

In addition to a clear rebound from the 100-day EMA level of $74.85, sustained trading beyond 50-day EMA, around $78 by the press time, keeps WTI oil buyers hopeful to aim for the $80.00 psychological magnet.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price78.42
Today Daily Change-0.17
Today Daily Change %-0.22%
Today daily open78.59
 
Trends
Daily SMA2080.03
Daily SMA5078.52
Daily SMA10073.91
Daily SMA20069.52
 
Levels
Previous Daily High78.7
Previous Daily Low75.17
Previous Weekly High80.67
Previous Weekly Low75
Previous Monthly High84.98
Previous Monthly Low74.06
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%77.35
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%76.52
Daily Pivot Point S176.27
Daily Pivot Point S273.95
Daily Pivot Point S372.74
Daily Pivot Point R179.8
Daily Pivot Point R281.02
Daily Pivot Point R383.34

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Solana extends correction despite ETF inflows, RWA adoption

Solana (SOL) price edges below $70 extending its losses for the fourth straight day this week. The institutional demand for Solana is building, with steady inflows so far this week and Morgan Stanley’s amended S-1 filing for a Solana-focused Exchange-Traded Fund.

The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.