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WTI sees a downside to near $80.00 as global growth forecasts trim

  • Oil prices are expected to decline further as western central banks have hiked interest rates further.
  • US gasoline demand has trimmed significantly as US corporate has curtailed investments.
  • OPEC+ has cut production targets by 3.58 million bps to support oil prices.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, is facing selling pressure while attempting to deliver a bullish reversal. The oil prices are hovering around $83.00 and are expected to tumble further to near $80.00. On a broader note, the black gold is displaying a vulnerable performance for the past three weeks after surrendering the psychological support of $90.00.

A lot of resisting global catalysts have brought an intense sell-off in oil prices. Starting from the hawkish stance by western central banks on their interest rates where the agenda of bringing price stability is sacrificing the extent of economic activities. A decline in economic activities as corporate is not investing due to the unavailability of cheap money a desk. Also, the postponement of expansion plans has trimmed demand forecasts. Eventually, the demand for oil is falling sharply.

The demand for oil in the mighty US economy is falling vigorously. US gasoline demand has slipped sharply by 8.5 million barrels per day over the past four weeks. This has been the outcome of accelerating price pressures, which have forced households to stick with essentials only.

Meanwhile, an unchanged policy announcement from the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) dented the sentiment toward oil prices. As overall demand is not picking up in China and price pressures are strictly lower, a rate cut was expected. However, a neutral stance adopted by the PBOC weakened the oil bulls.

On the supply front, OPEC+ has trimmed the overall production by 3.58 million barrels per day, which accounts for 3.5% of global demand. Despite a decline in global supply, oil inventories are building, which strengthens the signs of recession ahead.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price83.01
Today Daily Change-0.39
Today Daily Change %-0.47
Today daily open83.4
 
Trends
Daily SMA2086.84
Daily SMA5090.49
Daily SMA10099.58
Daily SMA20096.42
 
Levels
Previous Daily High85.86
Previous Daily Low82.3
Previous Weekly High89.65
Previous Weekly Low83.83
Previous Monthly High97.68
Previous Monthly Low85.39
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%84.5
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%83.66
Daily Pivot Point S181.85
Daily Pivot Point S280.3
Daily Pivot Point S378.29
Daily Pivot Point R185.41
Daily Pivot Point R287.41
Daily Pivot Point R388.96

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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