WTI rebound from $73.00, downside looks likely as weak US PMI trigger recession fears
- Oil prices have sensed a moderate demand around $73.00 after carnage on Wednesday.
- Bleak economic outlook led by sustainability of higher interest rates by the Fed impacts the black gold.
- Weaker manufacturing activities in the US consecutively for the second time have triggered recession fears.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, has picked some bids in the Asian session after crashing to near $73.00. The rebound move seems less-confident for now as oil prices witnessed a carnage on Wednesday led by a consecutive drop in United States Manufacturing PMI data reported by the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) department.
The Manufacturing PMI in the United States dropped to 48.4 vs. the expectations of 48.5 and the former release of 49.0, recorded as the lowest reading since May 2000. Aggressive policy tightening measures adopted by the Federal Reserve (Fed) to tackle the stubborn inflation has resulted in lower volume of manufacturing activities. Firms are dodging debt raising discussions to avoid higher interest obligations, which has led to unchanged production capacities and lower execution of investment opportunities.
Meanwhile, upbeat labor market in the United States is giving a meaningful reason to the Federal Reserve (Fed) to continue higher interest rates for a secular period. The Unemployment Rate is highly stable at lower levels and wage growth is strong, which is still keeping reins in the inflationary pressures.
Oil stockpiles reported by the American Petroleum Institute (API) have increased by 3.298 million barrels for the week ending December 30. Operational activities were majorly shut down as individuals were busy in New Year celebrations. Going forward, the US official oil inventory data will provide fresh impetus.
In the Asian domain, rising Covid infections in China is showing signs of delayed recovery in its economic prospects. Analysts at Rabobank are of the view that China is still trying to cope with the surge in Covid infections after restrictions were eased. "The recent surge in Covid infections is not only straining the Chinese health care system. Bloomberg reports that it may now also stifle Beijing’s plans to kick-start a domestic semiconductor industry to compete with US-controlled supply chains.
Author
Sagar Dua
FXStreet
Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.
