|

WTI Price Forecast: WTI Crude Oil holds gains above $62, momentum builds for further upside

  • WTI trades around $62.80 on Thursday, up 1.20% but below the session high of $63.30.
  • Price action breaks out of bullish flag pattern, confirming short-term upside bias.
  • Immediate resistance seen at $63.00–$63.50; sustained break could target $65.00 and $66.37 (100-day SMA).
  • Support rests at $62.00; a break below may drag prices back to $60.00.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil extends its recovery on Thursday, building on early week gains as bulls capitalize on a bullish flag breakout. At the time of writing, WTI is trading around $62.80, up nearly 1.20% on the day, and slightly below the intraday high of $63.30. The recent price action reflects a healthy consolidation phase following Monday’s sharp 3% rally, suggesting that the upward momentum remains intact as traders eye key resistance levels ahead.

From a technical standpoint, the recent breakout from a bullish flag formation adds weight to the ongoing upside bias. This continuation setup emerged after Monday’s strong rally and was followed by a modest, downward-sloping pullback — a typical sign of profit-taking within an uptrend. 

The breakout has so far held above the $62.00 level, but bulls now face a near-term test at the $63.00–$63.50 resistance zone. This range, just shy of the week’s high, has acted as a short-term cap and needs to be cleared decisively to confirm bullish control and open the path toward the $65.00 psychological barrier, which has capped gains since mid-April. Furthermore, the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $66.37 serves as the next major technical target.

On the downside, if WTI fails to hold above $62.00, prices could fall back into the flag pattern, with key support near the $60.00 round figure at the lower end of the channel. A break below that would weaken the bullish outlook.

Momentum indicators continue to support the upside setup. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is gradually rising and currently stands at 54.49 — comfortably above the neutral 50 mark, indicating bullish momentum without flashing overbought conditions. The Rate of Change (ROC) indicator also holds in positive territory, signaling persistent upward pressure. As long as the price holds above $62.00, the bullish breakout remains valid. However, a sustained drop below this threshold would raise the risk of a false breakout, potentially shifting the short-term bias back in favor of consolidation or a deeper pullback.

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.