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WTI Price Analysis: WTI meets some offers at the psychological $40 resistance

  • Spot WTI drops over 1% on Tuesday after testing the USD 40 per barrel level.
  • There is an ascending wedge pattern on the hourly chart which is currently being tested.

Spot WTI 1-hour chart

Looking at the hourly chart below, the price has hit the psychological USD 40 per barrel mark and sold off quickly. One of the key features on the chart is the ascending wedge formation and at the time of writing the bears are testing the zone. If the wedge pattern does break the price could move to lower levels.

The next support zone is the black horizontal line just above USD 38.50 per barrel. Beyond that, the next support is slightly stronger at the blue level near USD 37 per barrel as it has been tested more times. On the upside, the bulls were not able to test the green level but watch out for it in the future as it could be important later on down the line. 

The Relative Strength Index indicator made a lower high wave as the market made a higher high. This is called bearish divergence and could have been an early signal for a loss in momentum. The MACD histogram is in the red and the signal lines are still above the mid-point. This is conflicting and if the signal lines do dip below the mid-point it could spell trouble. 

On the higher timeframes, the price is still in an uptrend. This whole move could just be a retracement but if the support zone at USD 37.17 per barrel breaks it could be the start of a trend change.

WTI Technical Analysis

Additional levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price39.25
Today Daily Change-0.41
Today Daily Change %-1.03
Today daily open39.66
 
Trends
Daily SMA2038.38
Daily SMA5031.04
Daily SMA10033.81
Daily SMA20045.34
 
Levels
Previous Daily High39.92
Previous Daily Low37.6
Previous Weekly High41.65
Previous Weekly Low37.18
Previous Monthly High35.92
Previous Monthly Low19.61
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%39.03
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%38.49
Daily Pivot Point S138.2
Daily Pivot Point S236.73
Daily Pivot Point S335.87
Daily Pivot Point R140.53
Daily Pivot Point R241.39
Daily Pivot Point R342.86

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

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