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WTI Price Analysis: Testing the $80 level on broad US Dollar

  • Crude oil prices retreat alongside equities at the beginning of the week.
  • OPEC+'s decision to trim oil output in early April revived growth-related concerns.
  • WTI is technically neutral in the near term but holding within a well-limited range.

Crude oil prices are down on Monday as a risk-off mood underpins the American currency. The black gold stands a few cents above an intraday low of $79.71 a barrel and is nearing its latest range's base.

OPEC+ oil output cut

Early April, the Organization of the Oil Exporting Countries and Allies (OPEC+) surprised market players by announcing a cut in their oil output of around 1.16 million barrels per day, pushing West Texas Intermediate (WTI) roughly 5.5% higher on April 3, leaving a $4 unfilled gap. WTI has been consolidating between $79 and $81.80 since the announcement, unable to find fresh directional impetus.

Higher energy prices have been partially responsible for skyrocketing inflation, and OPEC+'s decision came as a complete shock and revived concerns not only about price pressure but also about economic growth.

Technical Outlook

The United States crude oil consolidative phase gives no signs of changing in the near term. Technical indicators are flat in intraday charts, with modest downward slopes, which only reflect the absence of buying interest but fell short of supporting a steeper decline.

The base of the range comes as a strong static support level, with a break below $79.00 favoring a downward extension towards the $75.60 area, where the pair closed on March 31. On the other hand, the pair could accelerate its advance towards $82.65, this year's high, once above the aforementioned $81.80. 

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price80.07
Today Daily Change-0.41
Today Daily Change %-0.51
Today daily open80.48
 
Trends
Daily SMA2073.22
Daily SMA5075.74
Daily SMA10076.8
Daily SMA20083.09
 
Levels
Previous Daily High80.97
Previous Daily Low79.68
Previous Weekly High81.81
Previous Weekly Low75.76
Previous Monthly High80.99
Previous Monthly Low64.39
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%80.48
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%80.17
Daily Pivot Point S179.79
Daily Pivot Point S279.09
Daily Pivot Point S378.5
Daily Pivot Point R181.07
Daily Pivot Point R281.66
Daily Pivot Point R382.36

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