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WTI Price Analysis: Oil ignores China-linked optimism at three-month high near $79.00 amid overbought RSI

  • WTI struggles to cheer China inspired risk-on mood amid overbought RSI.
  • Five-week-old rising support line tests Oil buyers at multi-month high.
  • Sustained break of 200-DMA, previous key resistance line keeps energy bulls hopeful.
  • Rising wedge bearish chart formation teases WTI sellers but $76.40 appears the key to confirm downside.

WTI crude oil remains sidelined at the highest levels since late February, marked the previous day, as it fails to justify China-driven upbeat sentiment during early Tuesday. In doing so, the black gold seesaws around $78.90 by the press time amid overbought RSI (14) line.

Also read: S&P500 Futures struggle to justify optimism in China, Hong Kong amid sluggish yields, pre-Fed anxiety

Apart from the RSI conditions, the top line of a five-week-old rising wedge bearish chart pattern, around $79.50 by the press time, also challenges the Oil buyers.

However, a clear upside break of the 200-DMA and the previously important resistance line stretched from November 2022, respectively near $76.60 and $76.90, keeps the WTI bulls hopeful.

With this, the black gold is likely to edge higher and hence can cross the $79.50 hurdle, which in turn highlights the $80.00 psychological magnet for energy bulls to watch afterward.

In a case where the WTI remains firer past the $80.00 threshold despite overbought RSI, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its November 2022 to May 2023 downside, near $82.15, and April’s peak of $83.40 will be crucial to watch.

Meanwhile, a downside break of the previous support line and the 200-DMA isn’t likely to convince the Oil sellers unless the commodity confirms the rising wedge bearish chart pattern with a daily closing below $76.40.

WTI crude oil: Daily chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price78.87
Today Daily Change0.03
Today Daily Change %0.04%
Today daily open78.84
 
Trends
Daily SMA2073.43
Daily SMA5072.04
Daily SMA10073.5
Daily SMA20076.64
 
Levels
Previous Daily High79.19
Previous Daily Low76.38
Previous Weekly High77.23
Previous Weekly Low73.78
Previous Monthly High74.36
Previous Monthly Low66.95
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%78.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%77.45
Daily Pivot Point S177.08
Daily Pivot Point S275.32
Daily Pivot Point S374.27
Daily Pivot Point R179.89
Daily Pivot Point R280.95
Daily Pivot Point R382.7

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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