|

WTI Price Analysis: Hits 7-week low, potential bull RSI divergence on 1H

  • WTI oil dropped to seven-week lows in Asia, extending Wednesday's 3.73% slide. 
  • An hourly chart indicator is beginning to diverge in favor of the bulls. 

WTI oil fell to $55.68 soon before press time, the lowest level since Dec. 3, having declined by 3.73% on Wednesday. 

The black gold has found acceptance below $56.60, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (one of the golden ratio) of the rally from $51.03 to $65.62.

The 5- and 10-day averages continue to trend south, indicating strong bearish momentum. Further, the daily chart is reporting a lower highs, lower lows setup. 

As a result, the path of least resistance is to the downside. However, a minor corrective bounce may be seen before a potential drop to or below $55.00, as the hourly chart relative strength index is beginning to diverge in favor of the bulls. 

The indicator is holding above the low of 16.97 registered on Wednesday, contradicting oil's drop to a fresh seven-month low of $55.68. 

WTI could rise to $56.20 and may extend gains to $56.50. A rejection at these levels will likely recharge engines for a sell-off toward $55.00. 

Also, a bullish reversal would be confirmed if and when prices rise above $59.61 (Jan. 20 high), invalidating lower highs setup on the daily chart. 

Hourly chart

Trend: Bull divergence

Technical levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price55.81
Today Daily Change-0.27
Today Daily Change %-0.48
Today daily open56.08
 
Trends
Daily SMA2060.04
Daily SMA5059.05
Daily SMA10057.35
Daily SMA20057.64
 
Levels
Previous Daily High58.36
Previous Daily Low56.05
Previous Weekly High59.28
Previous Weekly Low57.38
Previous Monthly High62.38
Previous Monthly Low55.41
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%56.93
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%57.48
Daily Pivot Point S155.3
Daily Pivot Point S254.52
Daily Pivot Point S352.99
Daily Pivot Point R157.61
Daily Pivot Point R259.14
Daily Pivot Point R359.92

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800

EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.

GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area

Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.