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WTI Price Analysis: Bulls struggle around 200-EMA, $92.00 a critical hurdle

  • The 200-period EMA is acting as a major barricade for the counter.
  • A bullish flag formation adds to the upside filters.
  • The RSI (14) is attempting a break above 60.00, which will strengthen the oil bulls.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, is displaying back and forth moves in a narrow range of $90.68-91.34 in the early Tokyo session. The black gold has turned sideways after delivering a juggernaut rally from a low near $87.00 on Wednesday. The north-side perpendicular move remained shy of $92.00.

A Bullish Flag formation on an hourly scale signals a continuation of bullish momentum after a rangebound phase. Usually, a consolidation phase denotes intensive buying interest from the market participants, which prefer to enter an auction after the establishment of the trend.

Bulls are struggling to cross the mighty 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $91.40, however, the upside momentum assures a break sooner. The 50-EMA at $90.18 has started advancing higher, which warrants short-term optimism.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is struggling to cross 60.00. A break of the same will unleash the oil bulls for upside.

A decisive move above Tuesday’s high at 92.00 will drive the asset towards the round-level resistance at 95.00, followed by an August 1 high at $97.57.

Alternatively, oil prices can lose momentum if it drops below Wednesday’s low at $88.46. An occurrence of the same will drag the asset towards the August 5 low at $86.40. A slippage below $86.40 will open doors for more downside towards the 9 November 2021 high at $83.34.

WTI hourly chart

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price91.3
Today Daily Change0.29
Today Daily Change %0.32
Today daily open91.01
 
Trends
Daily SMA2094.18
Daily SMA50102.96
Daily SMA100104.18
Daily SMA20094.32
 
Levels
Previous Daily High91.79
Previous Daily Low87.19
Previous Weekly High97.68
Previous Weekly Low86.4
Previous Monthly High109.54
Previous Monthly Low88.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%90.03
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%88.95
Daily Pivot Point S188.2
Daily Pivot Point S285.39
Daily Pivot Point S383.6
Daily Pivot Point R192.81
Daily Pivot Point R294.61
Daily Pivot Point R397.42

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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