WTI drops towards $61.00 on API inventory build, US dollar recovery ahead of EIA data

  • WTI extends pullback from multi-month top after downbeat private inventory survey.
  • API Weekly Crude Oil Stock grew beyond -5.8M for the week ended on February 19.
  • US dollar weakness battles reflection fears and a lack of major data/events to tame the oil sellers.

WTI drops from $61.89 to $61.06, currently around $61.20, at the end of Tuesday’s settlement, early Wednesday morning in Asia. The oil benchmark recently responded to the industry stockpile report unveiled by the American Petroleum Institute (API). However, the greenback bears join cautious optimism towards the global recovery and an absence of normal supply flow to back the oil bulls.

As per the latest weekly inventory report, API stockpiles jumped +1.026 million barrels versus the previous draw of 5.8 million barrels during the period ended on February 19.

Although the commodity prices dropped following the bearish stockpile data, bulls aren’t gone home as the US-Iran tussle joins sustained abnormal oil supplies from the Persian Gulf.

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said, per New York Post, during the week that Tehran would not succumb to pressure from the United States on any matter. Washington and Tehran recently discuss the detention of Americans by the Gulf country as well as the nuclear deal amid the new government on Capitol Hill.

Elsewhere, production from Texas is yet to recover the losses marked during the latest freeze. The same join on-going output cuts from Saudi Arabia, Libya and Russia to help the energy buyers.

It’s worth mentioning that the US dollar’s weakness, currently near the early January levels, also helps the oil benchmark as well as the hopes of the economic recovery amid unlock announcements from key players. Furthermore, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s semi-annual testimony favored expectations of further economic strength while also turned down the reflation fears suggesting the Fed’s readiness to do whatever necessary.

Looking forward, oil traders await details from Energy Information Administration (EIA) for fresh impulse. The official inventory report, up for publishing around 15:30 GMT, is likely to mark a reduction in the stockpile draw from -7.258 million barrels to -5.372 million barrels during the week ended on February 19. Also likely to direction oil traders will be the second season of the Fed’s Chair Powell.

Technical analysis

Failures to stay strong beyond $62.00 tease counter-trend traders to eye the monthly support line near $59.70. However, the $60.00 can also raise bars for the WTI sellers. Meanwhile, the $63.00 and previous yearly high surrounding $65.45 can challenge the oil buyers above $62.00.

Additional important levels

Today last price 61.15
Today Daily Change -0.39
Today Daily Change % -0.63%
Today daily open 61.54
Daily SMA20 57.04
Daily SMA50 52.93
Daily SMA100 47.38
Daily SMA200 43.53
Previous Daily High 61.77
Previous Daily Low 58.81
Previous Weekly High 62.25
Previous Weekly Low 58.58
Previous Monthly High 53.94
Previous Monthly Low 47.26
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 60.64
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 59.94
Daily Pivot Point S1 59.64
Daily Pivot Point S2 57.75
Daily Pivot Point S3 56.68
Daily Pivot Point R1 62.6
Daily Pivot Point R2 63.67
Daily Pivot Point R3 65.57



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