|

WTI Crude Oil recovers from one-week low, avoids oversold conditions as investors have a rethink

  • WTI Crude Oil has recovered from the one-week low of $71.48.
  • Investors are having a rethink of the sell-off, especially amid an inventory drawdown.
  • The four-hour chart shows that WTI escaped oversold conditions. 

Supply could be lacking, despite extended supply from the OPEC+ – that seems to be the current thinking in oil markets. WTI Crude Oil has advanced toward $73 after prices hit a one-week low of $71 earlier in the day. 

Commodity investors are having a rethink about the compromise between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which results in an output increase by the cartel and its allies. An agreement was in the works and priced in ahead of the announcement.

On the other hand, the weekly US oil inventory report showed a considerable drawdown of 7.9 million barrels, nearly double the early expectations. That publication came out later than expected on Wednesday and could be fully digested on Thursday. 

Headwinds include the rapid spread of the Delta covid variant, which could weigh on demand from US consumers in the peak of the driving season. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is testifying on Capitol Hill and said that further substantial economic progress is needed before the bank reduces its bond-buying scheme. Prospects of additional support from the Fed also support oil prices. 

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis

The Relative Strength Index on the four-hour chart nearly dropped below 30 but bounced – a textbook avoidance of oversold conditions. On its way up, WTI recaptured the 200 Simple Moving Average, showing the downside move was a false break. 

Resistance awaits at $73.60, where the 50 and 100 SMAs hits the price. It is followed by $75 and $76.40. 

Support is at $71, followed by $$70.30 and $69.50. 

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).