|

WTI Crude Oil prices extend decline, WTI barrels slide 2% on Thursday

  • Crude Oil is continuing its recent decline as investors turn about-face to fret over global demand.
  • Futures markets that initially anticipated oil prices over $100/barrel are reversing direction and liquidating positions.
  • Global supply disruptions may turn out to be less severe than previous anticipated, despite reserve drawdowns.

West Texas Intermediary (WTI) Crude Oil barrel prices fell another 2% on Thursday, falling to a low $81.21 before recovering in the late hours of the trading day to bid into $81.88.

A crude oil pipeline originating in Iraq and running through Turkey is expected to resume operations soon, after construction delays saw the project delayed for over six months. The Iraqi pipeline will be delivering crude oil barrels to exporting hubs in order to ease lopsided supply markets.

Saudi Arabia and Russia helped spark a flight in barrel costs recently when they announced they would be extending production and exportation caps through the end of the year, but investors are now pivoting to fear a decline in global oil demand.

Thursday and Wednesday's combined two-day drop marks the largest two-day decline for WTI crude barrels since May.

Long positions established in Crude Oil futures markets that were previously anticipating WTI reaching $100/barrel into the end of the year are rapidly liquidating their positions, taking flight as global production looks set to ease off undersupply worries as crude-hungry economies across the globe look set to see waning Crude Oil demand, with the pivot out of fossils exacerbated by the recent crude price surge.

WTI technical outlook

WTI Crude Oil has extended a decline through the bottom side of a rising trendline from late June's last bottom near $67.15, and crude prices are set for an extended challenge of the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $78.00 if declines continue through the upcoming market sessions.

Crude barrel costs have seen a scorching run up the charts, pinging into thirteen-month highs just shy of $94.00/bbl in September before getting knocked lower fiercely by broad-market sell-offs fueled by souring risk sentiment giving way to outright risk aversion as investors piled into the US Dollar.

A recovery for the WTI crude price will need to overcome the 100-day SMA currently providing technical resistance from $84.64.

WTI daily chart

WTI technical levels

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price81.89
Today Daily Change-1.56
Today Daily Change %-1.87
Today daily open83.45
 
Trends
Daily SMA2088.97
Daily SMA5084.57
Daily SMA10078.45
Daily SMA20077.39
 
Levels
Previous Daily High88.51
Previous Daily Low83.18
Previous Weekly High93.98
Previous Weekly Low87.74
Previous Monthly High93.98
Previous Monthly Low83.09
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%85.22
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%86.47
Daily Pivot Point S181.59
Daily Pivot Point S279.72
Daily Pivot Point S376.26
Daily Pivot Point R186.91
Daily Pivot Point R290.38
Daily Pivot Point R392.24

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3350

GBP/USD holds just in positive territory around 1.3350 on Friday as the Greenback keeps a vacillating price action. With Fed rate hike expectations easing and US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday, Cable remains on track to post solid weekly gains.

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1440

EUR/USD holds on to its recent gains and consolidates around 1.1440 at the end of the week as the US Dollar lacks clear direction. In the meantime, trading conditions remain subdued, with volatility constrained by the closure of US markets for the Independence Day holiday.

Gold flirts with two-week highs, targets $4,200

Gold extends its recovery for a third straight day, advancing toward the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal looks set to snap a four-week losing streak as softer-than-expected June US NFP data prompt investors to scale back expectations of further Fed tightening.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP advance amid renewed capital inflows

Bitcoin maintains its upward momentum, holding above the $61,000 mark at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins such as Ethereum and Ripple are also posting gains, signaling a modest uptick in market sentiment and renewed risk appetite among investors.

The Iran war failed to trigger a recession. Can the US economy keep defying expectations?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.