|

WTI crude oil grinds higher around $79.00 ahead of EIA inventories

  • WTI bulls take a breather after five-day uptrend to November 2014 peak.
  • Mildly sour market sentiment challenges API inventories, OPEC+ verdict to keep buyers hopeful.
  • EIA inventories, US ADP Employment Change and risk catalysts eyed for fresh impulse.

WTI picks up bids to $78.80 as buyers pause the five-day uptrend around multi-day top during early Wednesday. In doing so, the energy benchmark struggles to extend the rally amid cautious optimism in the market and the firmer US Dollar Index (DXY) prices.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) snapped a three-day downtrend on Tuesday, keeping the upside moves near the 94.00 threshold by the press time while tracking firmer US Treasury yields and stronger data at home. However, Wall Street had its good day but the S&P 500 Futures drops 0.10% intraday at the latest amid indecision over the US stimulus and raising the debt ceiling issues.

US President Joe Biden stays optimistic over having the US debt ceiling extended before the October 18 deadline despite the GOP rejection. The reason could be the latest shift in the Republican policymakers’ tone and the global rating giant Moody’s keeping of the US credit rating.

Furthermore, the US Trade Representative’s (USTR) investigation over the exclusion of China imports also keeps the oil buyers hopeful.

Above all, the OPEC+ verdict to respect the previous agreement of increasing the output in a phased manner, versus the market expectations of higher supplies, keeps the oil buyers hopeful.

On the contrary, the Sino-American tussles over Taiwan and fears of virus resurgence, as well as the Fed tapering, challenge the WTI bulls.

It’s worth noting that the American Petroleum Institute (API) Weekly Crude Oil Stock dropped below 4.127M previous reading to 0.951M for the period ended on October 01.

Moving on, the weekly reading of the official oil stockpile from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will join the US ADP Employment Change for September to direct short-term oil moves.

Technical analysis

Unless declining back below the July month’s high near $76.40, WTI bulls remain hopeful to recall the $80.00 on the chart.

Additional impotant levels

Overview
Today last price78.8
Today Daily Change-0.06
Today Daily Change %-0.08%
Today daily open78.86
 
Trends
Daily SMA2072.74
Daily SMA5070.02
Daily SMA10070.23
Daily SMA20064.74
 
Levels
Previous Daily High79.23
Previous Daily Low77.29
Previous Weekly High76.51
Previous Weekly Low73
Previous Monthly High76.51
Previous Monthly Low67.02
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%78.49
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%78.03
Daily Pivot Point S177.69
Daily Pivot Point S276.51
Daily Pivot Point S375.74
Daily Pivot Point R179.63
Daily Pivot Point R280.41
Daily Pivot Point R381.58

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains below 1.1750 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD remains on the back foot below 1.1750 in the European session on Thursday. Traders move to the sidelines and refrain from placing any fresh directional bets on the pair ahead of the ECB policy announcements and the US CPI inflation data. 

GBP/USD ticks north following BoE’s announcement

The Bank of England decided to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points as expected. The MPC voting was tight, with just 5 out of 9 officials backing the decision. Sterling Pound advances on relief as investors anticipated a more dovish outcome.

Gold holds losses below $4,350 ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher and holds its pullback below $4,350 in the European session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar bounce. All eyes now remain on the US CPI inflation data. 

US CPI set to grow at stable 3.1% in November, further complicating the Fed’s dilemma

The US Consumer Price Index is forecast to rise 3.1% YoY in November, a mild uptick compared with September. The inflation report will not include monthly CPI figures.

Bitcoin steadies near $87,000 as strong ETF inflows offset bearish pressure

Bitcoin price hovers around $87,000 on Thursday, stabilizing after declining earlier this week. US-listed spot ETFs recorded $457.29 million in inflows on Wednesday, the highest single-day inflows since November 11.

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.