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WTI consolidates around $35.50 amid OPEC+ output cuts extension hopes

  • WTI off 3-month highs, but buoyed by output cuts extension talks.
  • Renewed US-China trade war fear saps energy out of the bulls.
  • All eyes on the risk trends and US weekly crude supplies.

WTI (July futures on Nymex) is posting small losses in the European session, extending its upside consolidation phase from three-month tops of 35.89, reached in early Asia.

The sellers continue to lurk on every attempt above the 35.50 barrier, in light of the latest shift in the risk sentiment on the report that China has asked its local firms to stop importing US farm goods. This comes as Beijing evaluates the US action on the Hong Kong issue. Investors remain wary about its impact on the US-China phase one trade agreement.

Meanwhile, the black gold continues to draw support from the talks around the OPEC+ oil output cuts extension, with the latest Reuters report citing that the OPEC and Russia are moving closer to a compromise on the duration of record oil output cuts extensions by one or two months.

Further, the optimism about the global economic recovery, as the economies re-open up from the coronavirus-imposed lockdown restrictions, helps the bulls hold on to the 35 mark. The barrel of WTI also benefits from a broadly weaker US dollar, with the US dollar index nursing losses around 98.00.

Meanwhile, markets digest the news that Saudi Arabia is expected to raise its official selling price (OSP) for all grades it sells to Asia in July. Next of relevance for the oil traders remain the US ISM Manufacturing PMI report and the weekly US crude supplies data for near-term trading impetus.

WTI technical levels to watch

The bears remain in control, with the immediate support aligned at 35.00 (round figure), below which the next support awaits at 34.58/52 (100, 5-DMA). To the upside, the three-month highs of 35.89 could be tested, as the bulls target the 36 handle.

WTI additional levels 

WTI

Overview
Today last price35.40
Today Daily Change-0.09
Today Daily Change %-0.25
Today daily open35.49
 
Trends
Daily SMA2029.74
Daily SMA5025.83
Daily SMA10037.37
Daily SMA20047.21
 
Levels
Previous Daily High35.92
Previous Daily Low32.54
Previous Weekly High35.92
Previous Weekly Low31.33
Previous Monthly High35.92
Previous Monthly Low19.61
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%34.63
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%33.83
Daily Pivot Point S133.38
Daily Pivot Point S231.28
Daily Pivot Point S330.01
Daily Pivot Point R136.76
Daily Pivot Point R238.02
Daily Pivot Point R340.13

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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