|

WTI consolidates above $61.00 mark, rising supply concerns capping gains

   •  IEA's oil demand growth forecast helps build on overnight up-move.
   •  Concerns about rising supply keep a lid on any further strong gains.

WTI crude oil held on to its modest daily gains through the mid-European session on Friday and was seen consolidating daily gains, above the $61.00/barrel mark. 

In its monthly report released on Thursday, the IEA increased its global oil demand growth forecast for 2018 and remained supportive of the commodity's minor uptick. The positive outlook, to some extent, was negated by concerns about rising supply from the US and kept gains under check.

Increasing supply from producers outside of the OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) offset efforts by world's biggest oil producers, led by OPEC and Russia, to cut supply and reduce global stockpiles, and was eventually seen capping any additional up-move. 

Nevertheless, the black gold remains on track to post a weekly loss of over 1.0%, reversing the majority of its last week's up-move, as traders now look forward to the weekly Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count report, due later during the NY session, for some fresh impetus. 

Technical levels to watch

Below the $61.00 mark, the commodity is likely to find support near $60.70 level, which if broken could accelerate the fall back towards $60.15-10 strong support. On the upside, bulls would be eyeing for a move beyond $61.65-70 hurdle, above which the commodity seems all set to surpass the $62.00 handle and aim towards testing $62.60 strong barrier.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD: Recovery appears capped by 0.7000

AUD/USD has reversed a multi-day positive streak, briefly revisiting the 0.6940 region before trimming part of those gains to end the day modestly on the back foot. The better tone in the Greenback has kept the pair under pressure, which has so far met decent contention in the vicinity of the 0.6900 zone. Moving forward, the Melbourne Institute’s Consumer Inflation Expectations is next on tap in Oz.

USD/JPY holds firm near 158.50 ahead of Fed Minutes

USD/JPY hangs close to a one-and-a-half-week high near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond the 200-day SMA hurdle before positioning for further gains ahead of the FOMC Minutes. Meanwhile, a fresh leg up in US bond yields revives US Dollar demand amid geopolitical uncertainties, boosting the pair amid dovish BoJ commentary.

Gold trims losses, back above $4,100

Gold now manages to regain some balance, returning to the area above the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce following the closing bell in Europe on Wednesday. The yellow metal’s sharp pullback comes in tandem with marked gains in the US Dollar and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin vs Gold: BTC and XAU fall amid macro headwinds, but Ray Dalio still prefers Gold
Bitcoin (BTC) edges lower on Wednesday, trading near $83,000. The broader correction in the cryptocurrency market can be attributed to heavily leveraged long liquidations, macro and geopolitical pressure reducing risk appetite. Gold (XAU/USD), similarly, remains in bearish hands as it tests short-term support at $4,100.
Fed Minutes: Officials saw inflation risks worsening before September hike
All participants at the Federal Reserve's (Fed) September 15–16 meeting supported the 25-basis-point rate increase, while most judged that another hike would probably be appropriate by the end of the year. The Minutes show policymakers increasingly focused on upside inflation risks, a resilient economy and the possibility that strong AI investment could add to demand pressures.
The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.