|

Will stock prices resume their uptrend?

The S&P 500 index gained 0.84% on Thursday as it broke above the recent local high. The market was advancing after the important Wednesday’s CPI and Thursday’s PPI releases. Recently the index traded along the 4,450 level and yesterday it broke slightly above the 4,500 mark. There’s still a lot of uncertainty about monetary policy, economic growth and stock prices continue to move sideways after their advances from March to July.

Stock prices are expected to open virtually flat this morning following better-than-expected Empire State Manufacturing Index release. The index retraced more of its recent declines yesterday as we can see on the daily chart:

Cahrt

Futures contract trades close to 4,550

Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 futures contract. This morning it’s trading along the 4,550 level. The resistance level is at around 4,580-4,600 and the support level is at 4,500-4,520, among others.

Chart

Conclusion

The S&P 500 will likely fluctuate following its yesterday’s advance. There may be some uncertainty as the market gets closer to the recent local high of around 4,540. However, there have been no confirmed short-term negative signals so far.

Recently the investors’ sentiment improved as the pressure for further monetary policy tightening somewhat eased. But stocks retraced most of their late August rally after bouncing off their mid-July local lows resistance level.

Here’s the breakdown

  • Stocks retraced more of their recent declines but they remain below the early September highs.

  • The S&P 500 went back above the 4,500 level.

  • In my opinion, the short-term outlook is still bullish.


Want free follow-ups to the above article and details not available to 99%+ investors? Sign up to our free newsletter today!


Want free follow-ups to the above article and details not available to 99%+ investors? Sign up to our free newsletter today!

Author

Paul Rejczak

Paul Rejczak

Gold Price Forecast

Paul Rejczak is a stock market strategist who has been known for the quality of his technical and fundamental analysis since the late nineties.

More from Paul Rejczak
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD off highs, back to 1.3620

GBP/USD remains slightly on the defensive at the end of the week, receding to the low 1.3600s after hitting fresh tops past 1.3670 earlier in the day. Cable’s correction comes after two daily gains in a row and amid a tepid advance in the Greenback, while poor UK data also accompany the downside.

EUR/USD treads water below 1.1700

EUR/USD now trades with modest losses around 1.1670 following another unsuccessful atempt to advance past 1.1700 the figure in a convincing fashion. The pair’s decline follows a maginal rebound in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess recent US data as well as developments from the US bond market.

Gold trims gains, recedes to the sub-$4,600 area

Gold rapidly leaves behind Thursday’s inconclusive price action and advances markedly on Friday, briefly surpassing the $4,600 mark per troy ounce to hit three-month peaks. Meanwhile, the precious metal’s solid performance comes despite marginal gains in the buck coupled with another day of rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP bulls accelerate rally amid rising ETF inflows

The cryptocurrency market remains bullish on Friday, led by Bitcoin’s surge above $77,000. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, mirror BTC’s positive outlook, trading near $2,400 and $1.35, respectively.

Week ahead – Fed’s Jackson Hole and Nvidia earnings to dictate markets

Kevin Warsh to make his Jackson Hole debut amid confusing messaging. But a major hawkish surprise unlikely after bond market intervention. Nvidia earnings to also determine market direction as stock rally cools.

$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.