|

When is the New Zealand CPI, and how could it affect the NZD/USD?

NZ CPI overview

We have the New Zealand Q3 inflation report due at 2145 GMT today. Analysts at ANZ explained that they are expecting to see a solid 0.8% q/q print, boosted by one-off factors:

"With the RBNZ expected to look through transitory factors, it will be important to discern the signal from the noise in the release. Although CPI could be strong, the RBNZ are still wary about risks to the medium-term activity outlook and that should temper any market reaction. The RBNZ’s sectoral factor model estimates of core inflation will also be out at 3pm, with a tick up expected."

How could it affect the NZD/USD?

NZD/USD has been consolidating the recent rise from S1 located at 0.6496 to R2 at 0.6547, but the data could be a tempory catalyst for a move to either side of the rising wedge's parameter located at R1, 0.6529 and R3, 0.6562. However, with strength in inflation likely to be transitory, rallies in NZD maybe picked off by the bears as fading opportunities within the broader bearish daily trend's channel. Support is located at 0.6460 and resistance is seen at 0.6590.

Key notes

Market wrap: financial markets were generally stable overnight - ANZ

About the NZ CPI

Consumer Price Index released by the Statistics New Zealand is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services . The purchase power of NZD is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the NZD, while a low reading is seen as negative.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800

EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.

GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area

Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.