|

When is the Aussie CPI, and how could it affect the AUD/USD?

Australian CPI overview

Very early on Wednesday at 00:30 GMT will see 2018's 3rd quarter inflation data dump for the Australian economy, and the headline q/q CPI reading is expected to come in at 0.4%, holding steady with the previous quarter's iteration. heading further into the market's expectations, the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) trimmed-mean CPI is also expected to clock in at 0.4%, a slight decline from the previous period's 0.5%, while the annualized CPI is expected to show 1.9%, a soft decline from the previous 2.1%, and although Australia's inflation reading for Wednesday is expected to continue towing the line, broader market expectations for an improved reading are on the low side as the broader Australian economy continues to struggle with lop-sided growth figures and a twitchy housing market.

How could it affect the AUD/USD?

According to FXStreet's own Valeria Bednarik, the Aussie is trading cautiously near the 0.7100 key figure ahead of Wednesday's inflation reading: "the 4 hours chart for the pair shows that moving averages are directionless, with the price currently hovering around a flat 100 SMA, and well below the 200 SMA, as technical indicators ease within positive ground, indicating that buying interest is not strong enough. The pair has reached a weekly high at 0.7124 last week, with the current one at 0.7120. If the pair is unable to clearly break above it and rally, bulls will likely become discouraged, probably resulting in a downward move to fresh yearly lows."

Support levels: 0.7080 0.7040 0.7000

Resistance levels: 0.7120 0.7155 0.7190

Key notes

AUD/USD analysis: battling around 0.7100 ahead of Q3 inflation figures

AUDUSD Analysis: Reveals new ascending channel

AUD/USD Forecast: bullish above the 0.7120 price zone

About the Australian CPI

The Consumer Price Index released by the RBA and republished by the Australian Bureau of Statistics is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services . The purchase power of AUD is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the AUD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
 

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.