The fall in stocks recently has been on the Russian/Ukraine crisis and worries that global growth is going to be hampered by central banks hiking rates into surging inflation. However, covid-19 concerns are rapidly fading as successful vaccine programmes bring many countries back to more normal interaction. If Russian risk fades it is worth looking at the strong seasonal pattern in place for Walt Disney Shares.

Over the last 15 years, Walt Disney shares have risen 12 times between March 22 and May 09. The percentage of winning trades has been 80% and the average gain has been 7.84%. Does this mean Walt Disney shares could be worth considering if Russian/Ukraine risk fades? Or will the Fed still be hiking aggressive rate hikes?

Major trade risks

  • The main risk here is that risk-off trading on geopolitical concerns over the Russian/Ukraine crisis results in further falls in stocks.

  • If the Fed keep to their aggressive rate hiking cycle then stocks may see further selling.


Learn more about HYCM

High Risk Investment Warning: Contracts for Difference (‘CFDs’) are complex financial products that are traded on margin. Trading CFDs carries a high degree of risk. It is possible to lose all your capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone and you should ensure that you understand the risks involved. Seek independent expert advice if necessary and speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Please think carefully whether such trading suits you, taking into consideration all the relevant circumstances as well as your personal resources. We do not recommend clients posting their entire account balance to meet margin requirements. Clients can minimise their level of exposure by requesting a change in leverage limit. For more information please refer to HYCM’s Risk Disclosure.

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