|

USDJPY Price Analysis: Bears eye a breakout of the daily coil

  • USDJPY bears are licking their lips within the coil. 
  • Bulls need to move in and take out horizontal resistance or face a downside breakout. 

USDJPY stays relatively flat for Thursday following a consolidative day on Wednesday where the price traveled between a high of 140.29 and a low of 138.72, now trading back at 139.50.

The US Dollar has been under pressure, however, falling from elevated levels on the sentiment that the Federal Reserve will be forced to pause its rate hikes. As interest rate differentials with other countries narrow, the US Dollar would be expected to continue to slide. The sentiment is fueling the downside potential for USDJPY as the following technical analysis will illustrate:

USDJPY daily chart

USDJPY is meeting fresh dynamic support and is coiled into a bearish continuation triangle on the daily chart. Being on the back side of the prior trendlines is bearish. 

USDJPY H1 chart

The bulls need to get above horizontal resistances while the bears are seeking a break of support outside of the coil. 

USDJPY M15 chart

The 16-min charts show the price sticking to a tight consolidation which potential means a breakout is imminent. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).