|

USDCHF Price Analysis: Trims last week’s losses, eyeing 0.9600

  • The USDCHF is set to end the week with gains of more than 1%, but the bias is bearish.
  • Short term, the USDCHF bottomed around 0.9350-0.9450, with buyers eyeing 0.9600.

The USDCHF advances for the fifth straight day after tumbling in the last week by more than 5% after a softer-than-expected US inflation report. However, hawkish commentary by Federal Reserve (Fed) officials throughout the week bolstered the US Dollar (USD) to the detriment of the Swiss Franc (CHF). At the time of writing, the USDCHF is trading at 0.9536, above its opening price by 0.26%.

USDCHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USDCHF daily chart portrays the pair as downward biased. Based on last week’s price action, the USDCHF plunged below the 50, 100, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) pushed all the way down toward oversold conditions.

Once the USDCHF reached a fresh multi-month low of around 0.9356, price action formed a candlestick hammer, and since then, the major rallied towards the current exchange rate. Nevertheless, the bias remains intact, as the RSI exited from oversold conditions but remains at bearish territory.

Short term, the USDCHF 4-hour chart displays the major bottom around the 0.9350-0.9480 area. On Thursday, the USDCHF broke upwards, reaching a weekly high of 0.9557, but the major is consolidating around the 0.9500-0.9559 area. If the USDCHF clears the top, the next resistance would be 0.9600, followed by the November 11 daily high at 0.9681, ahead of 0.9700.

USDCHF Key support levels lie at the psychological 0.9500 figure. A breach of the latter would expose the November 17 daily low at 0.9432, followed by the November monthly low around 0.9356.

USDCHF Key Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9538
Today Daily Change0.0019
Today Daily Change %0.20
Today daily open0.9519
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9814
Daily SMA500.9822
Daily SMA1000.9737
Daily SMA2000.9628
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9558
Previous Daily Low0.9433
Previous Weekly High0.9988
Previous Weekly Low0.9398
Previous Monthly High1.0148
Previous Monthly Low0.9781
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.951
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9481
Daily Pivot Point S10.9449
Daily Pivot Point S20.9379
Daily Pivot Point S30.9324
Daily Pivot Point R10.9573
Daily Pivot Point R20.9628
Daily Pivot Point R30.9698

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.