|

USD/ZAR Price Analysis: Sellers attack 50-DMA, previous resistance near five-week low

  • USD/ZAR stays pressured around the lowest level since November 17, down for fourth consecutive day.
  • Bearish MACD signals, clear downside break of two-month-old previous support line favor sellers.
  • 100-DMA, six-month-old ascending trend line lure bears, upside momentum remains elusive below $16.15.

USD/ZAR remains on the back foot around a multi-day low, down 0.50% intraday close to $15.55 heading into Monday’s European session.

In doing so, the South African currency (ZAR) pair declines for the fourth consecutive day as the bears battle the resistance-turned-support and the 50-DMA level. Also favoring the pair sellers are the bearish MACD signals and failures to stay firmer beyond $16.00.

Even so, a daily closing below $15.54 becomes necessary for the USD/ZAR bears to extend the ruling towards September’s peak of $15.25.

Following that, the 100-DMA and upward sloping trend line from June, respectively around $15.15 and $14.80, will gain the market’s attention.

Should the quote bounce off $15.15-14 support confluence, the early December’s low near $15.66 the previous support line from October 20, close to $16.15, will challenge the USD/ZAR bulls.

In a case where the quote stays firmer beyond $16.16, the recently flashed multi-day high near $16.36 and the $17.00 round figure will be in focus.

USD/ZAR: Daily chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price15.5453
Today Daily Change-0.0898
Today Daily Change %-0.57%
Today daily open15.6351
 
Trends
Daily SMA2015.9065
Daily SMA5015.524
Daily SMA10015.1411
Daily SMA20014.7185
 
Levels
Previous Daily High15.8004
Previous Daily Low15.4906
Previous Weekly High15.9734
Previous Weekly Low15.4906
Previous Monthly High16.3684
Previous Monthly Low14.8632
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%15.6089
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%15.6821
Daily Pivot Point S115.4837
Daily Pivot Point S215.3323
Daily Pivot Point S315.1739
Daily Pivot Point R115.7934
Daily Pivot Point R215.9518
Daily Pivot Point R316.1032

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1750 as 2025 draws to a close

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1750 in the European session on Wednesday, the final day of 2025. The pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 amid renewed USD demand

GBP/USD remains under pressure near 1.3450 in European trading on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold recovers losses above $4,300 amid the year-end grind

Gold price reverses a dip below $4,300 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, recovering intraday losses. The precious metal draws support from the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Gold has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).